date: Tue, 16 Mar 2004 09:46:32 -0700 from: Tom Wigley subject: IPCC meeting to: Sarah Raper , Sarah Raper This is a multi-part message in MIME format. --------------090304020504000900060900 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii; format=flowed Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Sarah, Although it is still uncertain, I expect to be invited to an IPCC meeting in Maynooth (nr Dublin) Ireland, spanning May 11 through 13, on "Describing Scientific Uncertainties in Climate Change to Support Analysis of Risk and of Options". This is WG1. I should go to this meeting, since I think I (and you) have done important work in this area. However, the dates are really bad for me. If you have not already been invited (or don't get an invitation sometime next week), could you go to advertise our work (and some other work I have done)? I feel sure that if I am invited then I could nominate you to go instead. I think it is very important that one of us goes -- while our work is well enough recognized, papers published after ours (and, I think, inferior to ours) from MIT often get mentioned first. In addition to our Science paper, I have other papers using probabilistic methods. These are attached. The OECD paper, which I may have sent already, expands on our Science paper. The Climate Change paper looks at choosing a stabilization target. I have another ms that looks at policy results probabilistically, but I will hold back on this not to overwhelm you. The other thing I have done is to link the global-mean pdfs to gridpoint pdfs for normalized changes, from SCENGEN, to give pdfs for gridpoint level changes. If you can go, I would give you a powerpoint to use. We can talk more about this when I see you in April. In the meantime -- are you available May 11-13? Tom. --------------090304020504000900060900