date: Tue Dec 11 14:44:11 2001 from: Keith Briffa subject: Re: Reviews of PAGES Synthesis chapter to: "Raymond S. Bradley" Ray recently back from Liverpool - had to cancel a trip to see Ed in the States over thanksgiving. Dad ill again! I did look at the comments and am a little disappointed at Jurg's. OK he wants more on Europe and the last few centuries but beside putting in the caveats he wants and confirming the space restriction that dictated the regional foci we chose (and of course adding in a few references) I don't see we should do a rework to stress a Late Maunder Minimum effect . This brings up the need to reconsider the solar effect on climate - have you seen the latest Bond et al. paper. ([1]www.sciencemag.org) I am a bit surprised that the relationship looks so good (between Be and Ice Rafting over the last 12000 years) . It is very convincing at first read through - but I still do not believe it. I need to re-read the details of averaging, smoothing etc. but other than suggest that they fiddled the data I have to admit surprise at the relationships they show. The lack of comparison over the last 3000 years is frustrating . I have also just received a paper by Curt stager (with Beer and Meeker) that shows (weaker) evidence of a link with solar variability and African moisture changes in the last 1000 years ). All of a sudden the sun is back with a bang! As for our piece, the missing southern Hemisphere stuff is a hole I feel we have to fill. I can do the tree-ring side if someone else does the rest. I feel the new speleothem record needs to go in my Figure and I can do the Lutterbacher wording changes - but I am still confused on the ice stuff. Should we change that Figure in any other way? What do you think about the discussion of it? We need to rework the text again generally at a finer level but we can all have a go and you decide on the details . Other than that I have nothing else to say - because we know this is a space limited project and you will not please everyone . At 09:27 PM 11/29/01 -0500, you wrote: Hi Keef: Did you have a chance to look over the comments on the synthesis chapter? Any thoughts before I proceed? We need to get revisions done by the end of december. ray At 10:07 AM 11/14/01 +0000, you wrote: Ray I asked for this chapter and comments but you have not sent them yet (there was no attachment on your message) - have you seen the latest speleothem paper in Science (McDermott et al) 294,1328-1331) . Very interesting - not much overall Holocene cooling; but good dating of events such as 8.2 . very cautious interpretation of oxygen isotope values - how does it compare with Stein Eric's record - not that much. Keith At 11:55 AM 11/8/01 -0400, you wrote: I attach reviews of our chapter. In general, we got good marks, but there is concern (that I think we all shared, initially) that we could do a better job in representing the record of the SH, and (b) a lot of recent literature on the NAO & Maunder Minimum has been overlooked. I guess a third point, re Chinese records, is also made. How to proceed? To avoid a chaotic process, I suggest that we all just read over these comments & consider the best way to go forward. Email your thoughts to everyone. If you can see very specific sections that you can easily respond to, please identify that part to me and I will not then try to take care of it myself. Otherwise, I will go through the paper and try to fix the minor points, then I will contact you with an updated version, with specfic "assignments" for each of us to be responsible for fixing....OK? we need to have a "final" draft to the PAGES office by 1/15 (2002!!!) at the latest. Let's not let this drag on again, or it will just keep getting more & more difficult to keep it current... ray Raymond S. Bradley Professor and Head of Department Department of Geosciences University of Massachusetts Amherst, MA 01003-5820 Tel: 413-545-2120 Fax: 413-545-1200 Climate System Research Center: 413-545-0659 Climate System Research Center Web Page: <<[2]http://www.geo.umass.edu/climate/climate.html>[3]http://www.geo.umass.edu/c limate/climate.html> Paleoclimatology Book Web Site (1999): <[4]http://www.geo.umass.edu/climate/paleo/html>[5]http://www.geo.umass.edu/clim ate/paleo/html -- Professor Keith Briffa, Climatic Research Unit University of East Anglia Norwich, NR4 7TJ, U.K. Phone: +44-1603-593909 Fax: +44-1603-507784 [6]http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/cru/people/briffa/ Raymond S. Bradley Professor and Head of Department Department of Geosciences University of Massachusetts Amherst, MA 01003-5820 Tel: 413-545-2120 Fax: 413-545-1200 Climate System Research Center: 413-545-0659 Climate System Research Center Web Page: <[7]http://www.geo.umass.edu/climate/climate.html> Paleoclimatology Book Web Site (1999): [8]http://www.geo.umass.edu/climate/paleo/html -- Professor Keith Briffa, Climatic Research Unit University of East Anglia Norwich, NR4 7TJ, U.K. Phone: +44-1603-593909 Fax: +44-1603-507784 [9]http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/cru/people/briffa[10]/