cc: P.Jones@uea.ac.uk date: Fri, 20 Jul 2007 07:28:31 -0400 from: John Milliman subject: Nature ms to: trenbert@ucar.edu, Aiguo Dai Dear Kevin and Aiguo: Attached is our Nature manuscript, together with figures and supplementary data upon which we based the paper. In our attempt we used only observed discharge data - from 135 rivers - between 1951 and 2000, taking care that the records were as complete as possible (median record length was 49 years; mean was 47), thus avoiding the problems of Milly and the French. Also, our database is reasonably global in extent. We then compared this with precipitation change to see if we could delineate climatic vs anthropogenic drivers, which I think we did reasonably well. So our approaches are somewhat similar, but certainly not identical. And our results are not diametrically different either. We should hear from Nature within the next few weeks, at which point we should be able to discuss this better. In the meantime, if you have questions or comments, fire away.... Sincerely, John Attachment Converted: "c:\eudora\attach\Milliman_Sup1.pdf" Attachment Converted: "c:\eudora\attach\Milliman_txtfigs1.pdf" Attachment Converted: "c:\eudora\attach\50-yr_trend_Nature_text.doc"