cc: rahmstorf@pik-potsdam.de,drind@giss.nasa.gov date: Tue Jan 11 22:39:09 2005 from: Keith Briffa subject: where I am !!!! ! to: jto@jto.inbox.email.arizona.edu ,Eystein Jansen Basically , I need to send this to you to because there comes a point when I am just not able to read it objectively. I would really like you both - and David and Stefan (I am ccing to them only) to look at it . Obviously it has grown too much, but the information in here is in my opinion all important. I suggest removing the regional simulations stuff from the end (as David said earlier!) but feel this should be somewhere - also (sorry Eystein) perhaps the ocean section should go? I have dropped the proposed Figure 2 _ after wasting a lot of time on it - there are too many problems with getting and understanding data - and then making any sensible conclusion on the basis of it. We really must have the two Figures left though - or some variants (these need borehole curves including and some way of indicating envelope of uncertainty around all reconstructions - perhaps as gray shading of different darkness depending on how may confidence limits overlap). I would really appreciate a dispassionate look by all of you at the conclusions drawn after the the desciption of both Figures - in the light of the discussion we had about interpreting these Figures. I am really happy if you and David and Stefan (and Fortunat?) consider what is worth and not worth trying to say re the implications of these Figures, beyond the TAR. I can not tell if what I am saying is balanced (I know Esper reconstruction is very hairy and ECHO-G run has much too great long-term variability - but no evidence PUBLISHED to support this - yet at least). Is what I say about the implications of the reconstructions banal? I have been battling with teaching today and fucked up course scheduling by the administration that has outraged some students. Tomorrow I must take daughter back for new term in Cambridge - and now must work on proposal for Russian who leaves Thursday and needs to submit before then. Do have a look and trim , cross reference as needed. The nightmare with these references continues also and I will have to get someone to help out here - incidentally our secretary has gone absent for a month . I will be back in hopefully by tomorrow afternoon . The conclusions (bullets?) should be very brief - but can not see them yet - suggestions welcome I can try to do something for the methods but would rather you just told me exactly what is needed. I will then work on this Thursday and likely happy to accept what you say re this text. I know I have not contributed to the discussing on other sections - very frustrating - but must wait til after ZOD . Sorry Keith -- Professor Keith Briffa, Climatic Research Unit University of East Anglia Norwich, NR4 7TJ, U.K. Phone: +44-1603-593909 Fax: +44-1603-507784 [1]http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/cru/people/briffa/