date: Mon Nov 1 10:08:46 2004 from: Phil Jones subject: Re: [Fwd: [Fwd: IPCC AR4 - 3.4.1.2]] to: "Parker, David (Met Office)" David, Just back after a week away on holiday. I have written some text (a couple of pages for 3.2). It must be on my laptop at home. I'll send it tomorrow. Cheers Phil At 09:35 01/11/2004, you wrote: Kevin, Phil I'm forwarding just the email (without attachments) to record Carl Mears's view that Dian Seidel should still be regarded as a contributing author. Regards David Return-path: Received: from exxmail1.desktop.frd.metoffice.com ([151.170.112.5]) by exxmail2.desktop.frd.metoffice.com with Microsoft SMTPSVC(5.0.2195.6713) ; Fri, 29 Oct 2004 02:50:25 +0100 Received: from meadow.metoffice.com ([151.170.49.72]) by exxmail1.desktop.frd.metoffice.com with Microsoft SMTPSVC(5.0.2195.6713) ; Fri, 29 Oct 2004 02:50:24 +0100 Received: from email.metoffice.gov.uk ([151.170.63.7]) by metoffice.gov.uk (PMDF V6.1-1X6 #30809) with SMTP id <01LGL4IORSJ600LQ4G@metoffice.gov.uk> for david.parker@desktop.frd.metoffice.com (ORCPT david.parker@metoffice.com) ; Fri, 29 Oct 2004 01:50:22 +0000 (GMT) Received: from CONVERSION-DAEMON.email.metoffice.com by email.metoffice.com (PMDF V6.1-1X6 #30622) id <01LGL4HBN2W000G5BA@email.metoffice.com> for david.parker@metoffice.com; Fri, 29 Oct 2004 01:49:47 +0000 (GMT) Received: from mailbox.gfdl.noaa.gov (mailbox.GFDL.NOAA.GOV [140.208.1.202]) by email.metoffice.com (PMDF V6.1-1X6 #30622) with ESMTP id <01LGL4FWKJWE00EI2B@email.metoffice.com> for david.parker@metoffice.com; Fri, 29 Oct 2004 01:49:10 +0000 (GMT) Received: from majordomo2.gfdl.noaa.gov (majordomo2.GFDL.NOAA.GOV [140.208.1.206]) by mailbox.gfdl.noaa.gov (Netscape Messaging Server 4.15) with ESMTP id I6BP0U00.29J for ; Thu, 28 Oct 2004 21:48:30 -0400 Received: from noaa.gov (bjs [140.208.5.19]) by majordomo2.gfdl.noaa.gov (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id i9T1mTEk004976 for ; Thu, 28 Oct 2004 21:48:29 -0400 Date: Thu, 28 Oct 2004 21:48:29 -0400 From: Brian Soden Subject: [Fwd: IPCC AR4 - 3.4.1.2] To: "Parker David (Met Office)" Reply-to: b.soden@miami.edu Message-id: <4181A16D.4090805@noaa.gov> MIME-version: 1.0 Content-type: multipart/mixed; boundary="Boundary_(ID_BFydFs6gOrkranmrCg1Wjw)" X-Accept-Language: en-us, en User-Agent: Mozilla/5.0 (X11; U; Linux i686; en-US; rv:1.0.2) Gecko/20030208 Netscape/7.02 X-Proxy: EXEFWIA.metoffice.com protected by Firewall X-OriginalArrivalTime: 29 Oct 2004 01:50:24.0958 (UTC) FILETIME=[A87ADDE0:01C4BD59] -------- Original Message -------- Subject: IPCC AR4 - 3.4.1.2 Date: Thu, 28 Oct 2004 15:00:00 -0700 From: carl mears [1] To: [2]b.soden@miami.edu References: [3]<4173F2C7.7090806@noaa.gov> [4]<417FE041.6010800@noaa.gov> Hi Brian Attached is my IPCC contribution. I've included a very rough draft of one figure showing satellite time series. This could be augmented with radiosonde/reanalysis data easily and extended back in time. I like having the weighting functions in the same figure, so the reader can understand more about what we're talking about. The weighting function part could have some sort of shading (with a blurry boundary) to indicate troposphere/stratosphere, though of course this is complicated by the zonal dependence of the tropopause height (hence the blurriness). Dian Seidel did all the work of assembling the time series and calculating global averages, trends and confidence intervals in a consistent manner as part of the CCSP effort. She should be included in the contributing author list for this chapter if she's not already there. I'm also attaching a figure that John Christy is developing for CCSP. I like using a figure to summarize all the trends, because it is easier to evaluate when things agree (more or less) and where they don't. In this case, it's easy to see that everything goes to pot in the stratosphere. I'd like to see a figure like this in the summary part of 3.4.1. I obviously don't think much of the two Vinnikov and Grody results. I personally think that the publication of VG1 in science was a massive failure of the review process. But there it is, so we can't really ignore it. VG2, despite some problems, should be published in JGR so the rest of the world can evaluate it in detail. Apparently there is also a Science paper associated with VG2, but VG won't share its contents right now due to Science editorial policy. -Carl >A reminder for those who have not submitted their contributions yet. I >would like to recieve them by next Monday (Nov. 1). Hope I don't spoil >your weekend. > >Thanks. >Brian > > > >Brian Soden wrote: > >>Dear Chapter 3.4 Contributors >> >>Just a reminder that the deadline for your contributions to the Zero'th >>Order Draft (ZOD) of Chapter 3 is only two weeks away (Nov. 1). If I have >>not already received your contribution, please keep this deadline in mind. >> >>Once I have recieved your contribution, it will be edited and assembled >>with others. However, that is not the end of your task! You will be >>asked to review the material once the full ZOD is assembled and your >>comments at this stage in the process are important and will be most >>appreciated. >> >>Thanks for your help. >> >>Brian > Dr. Carl Mears Remote Sensing Systems 438 First Street, Suite 200, Santa Rosa, CA 95401 [5]mears@remss.com 707-545-2904 x21 707-545-2906 (fax)) Prof. Phil Jones Climatic Research Unit Telephone +44 (0) 1603 592090 School of Environmental Sciences Fax +44 (0) 1603 507784 University of East Anglia Norwich Email p.jones@uea.ac.uk NR4 7TJ UK ----------------------------------------------------------------------------