date: Mon Nov 13 14:36:53 2000 from: Keith Briffa subject: warming trends to: rbradley@geo.umass.edu Ray I have asked Tim to email a map (actually 5 maps) of surface temperature trends for the globe,(4 northern seasons and annual) . They are based on all grid boxes with at least 70 years of data between 1901 and 1999. They are in colour - with anything green ,blue or purple showing negative trend (not robust trends but it won't matter). The bottom line is that if you show the annual map in the Synthesis paper, there are quite a few areas that have not warmed. Incidentally, the significant trends are indicated as areas enclosed in black lines, and southern Greenland and the oceans to the east of it have clearly cooled (though most boxes are NOT significant. Other cooling areas are extreme south east USA ;west central South America; east central Africa and south east China. Probably 95 per cent of the area with data has warmed though. If you just plug in all areas with at least 25 years coverage , very large areas of the map cool. I am now thinking and talking about the regional projections with Tim. Keith -- Dr. Keith Briffa, Climatic Research Unit, University of East Anglia, Norwich, NR4 7TJ, United Kingdom Phone: +44-1603-592090 Fax: +44-1603-507784