date: Fri, 13 Aug 1999 02:47:50 +0100 from: Suraje Dessai subject: MAGICC files to: m.hulme@uea.ac.uk Dear Mike, I attach the files you wanted to have a look at. Let me know if you're convinced by them. I shall send you the report very soon after I get an e-mail address in Boulder. Best wishes, Suraje P.S. Please let me know if you received the files in condition, otherwise I will send them again. 11 NEW-A2-K1 Corrected - SRES A2 marker scenario with the KP entering into force and no further reductions Year Foss CO2 Defo CO2 CH4 N2O SO2,1 SO2,2 SO2,3 (Pg C) (Pg C) (Tg) (Tg N) (Tg S) (Tg S) (Tg S) 1990 6.137 1.584 307.057 6.588 2.095 0.000 0.000 1995 6.864 1.655 328.785 7.214 6.175 0.000 0.000 2000 7.591 1.726 350.512 7.841 10.255 0.000 0.000 2005 7.957 1.786 368.518 8.219 14.335 0.000 0.000 2010 8.323 1.846 386.523 8.597 18.415 0.000 0.000 2015 9.050 1.917 408.251 9.224 22.495 0.000 0.000 2020 9.776 1.988 429.978 9.850 26.575 0.000 0.000 2025 10.649 1.953 458.830 10.252 27.243 0.000 0.000 2050 15.009 1.780 603.089 12.263 30.581 0.000 0.000 2075 21.055 1.443 748.737 14.536 6.443 0.000 0.000 2100 27.101 1.106 894.386 16.809 -17.695 0.000 0.000 11 NEW-A2-K2 Corrected - SRES A2 marker scenario with the KP entering into force and constant Annex-I emissions from 2010 Year Foss CO2 Defo CO2 CH4 N2O SO2,1 SO2,2 SO2,3 (Pg C) (Pg C) (Tg) (Tg N) (Tg S) (Tg S) (Tg S) 1990 6.137 1.584 307.057 6.588 2.095 0.000 0.000 1995 6.864 1.655 328.785 7.214 6.175 0.000 0.000 2000 7.591 1.726 350.512 7.841 10.255 0.000 0.000 2005 7.957 1.786 386.518 8.219 14.335 0.000 0.000 2010 8.323 1.846 386.523 8.597 18.415 0.000 0.000 2015 8.920 1.913 406.390 9.099 22.495 0.000 0.000 2020 9.518 1.979 426.257 9.601 26.575 0.000 0.000 2025 10.228 1.925 446.257 9.975 27.243 0.000 0.000 2050 13.779 1.654 545.618 11.846 30.581 0.000 0.000 2075 18.270 1.343 628.471 13.595 6.443 0.000 0.000 2100 22.762 1.031 711.323 15.344 -17.695 0.000 0.000 11 NEW-A2-K3A Corrected - SRES A2 marker scenario with the KP entering into force and further reductions by Annex-I Parties, reaching a 60% reduction in 2100 Year Foss CO2 Defo CO2 CH4 N2O SO2,1 SO2,2 SO2,3 (Pg C) (Pg C) (Tg) (Tg N) (Tg S) (Tg S) (Tg S) 1990 6.137 1.584 307.057 6.588 2.095 0.000 0.000 1995 6.864 1.655 328.785 7.214 6.175 0.000 0.000 2000 7.591 1.726 350.512 7.841 10.255 0.000 0.000 2005 7.957 1.786 368.518 8.219 14.335 0.000 0.000 2010 8.323 1.846 386.523 8.597 18.415 0.000 0.000 2015 8.818 1.910 406.390 9.099 22.495 0.000 0.000 2020 9.313 1.974 426.257 9.601 26.575 0.000 0.000 2025 9.942 1.917 426.150 9.975 27.243 0.000 0.000 2050 13.166 1.638 545.618 11.846 30.581 0.000 0.000 2075 16.841 1.304 628.471 13.595 6.443 0.000 0.000 2100 20.516 0.970 711.323 15.344 -17.695 0.000 0.000 11 NEW-A2-K3B Corrected - SRES A2 marker scenario with the KP entering into force, 60% reduciton by Annex-I Parties up to 2100 and 20% reduction by non-Annex-I countries (with 2020 as a baseline year) Year Foss CO2 Defo CO2 CH4 N2O SO2,1 SO2,2 SO2,3 (Pg C) (Pg C) (Tg) (Tg N) (Tg S) (Tg S) (Tg S) 1990 6.137 1.584 307.057 6.588 2.095 0.000 0.000 1995 6.864 1.655 328.785 7.214 6.175 0.000 0.000 2000 7.591 1.726 350.512 7.841 10.255 0.000 0.000 2005 7.957 1.786 368.518 8.219 14.335 0.000 0.000 2010 8.323 1.846 386.523 8.597 18.415 0.000 0.000 2015 8.818 1.910 406.390 9.099 22.495 0.000 0.000 2020 9.313 1.974 426.257 9.601 26.575 0.000 0.000 2025 9.232 1.972 426.257 9.601 27.243 0.000 0.000 2050 8.623 1.869 426.257 9.601 30.581 0.000 0.000 2075 7.525 1.753 426.257 9.601 6.443 0.000 0.000 2100 6.144 1.544 426.257 9.601 -17.695 0.000 0.000 11 NEW-A2-K3C Corrected - SRES A2 marker scenario with the KP entering into force, 60% reduciton by Annex-I Parties up to 2100 and 20% reduction by non-Annex-I countries (with 2050 as a baseline year) Year Foss CO2 Defo CO2 CH4 N2O SO2,1 SO2,2 SO2,3 (Pg C) (Pg C) (Tg) (Tg N) (Tg S) (Tg S) (Tg S) 1990 6.137 1.584 307.057 6.588 2.095 0.000 0.000 1995 6.864 1.655 328.785 7.214 6.175 0.000 0.000 2000 7.591 1.726 350.512 7.841 10.255 0.000 0.000 2005 7.957 1.786 368.518 8.219 14.335 0.000 0.000 2010 8.323 1.846 386.523 8.597 18.415 0.000 0.000 2015 8.818 1.910 406.390 9.099 22.495 0.000 0.000 2020 9.313 1.974 426.257 9.601 26.575 0.000 0.000 2025 9.942 1.917 446.150 9.975 27.243 0.000 0.000 2050 13.166 1.638 545.618 11.846 30.581 0.000 0.000 2075 11.360 1.461 545.618 11.846 6.443 0.000 0.000 2100 9.553 1.284 545.618 11.846 -17.695 0.000 0.000 11 NEW-B1-K1 Corrected - SRES B1 marker scenario with the KP entering into force and no further reductions Year Foss CO2 Defo CO2 CH4 N2O SO2,1 SO2,2 SO2,3 (Pg C) (Pg C) (Tg) (Tg N) (Tg S) (Tg S) (Tg S) 1990 6.080 0.900 428.000 10.500 -4.400 0.000 0.000 1995 6.312 1.083 439.167 10.833 -9.058 0.000 0.000 2000 6.543 1.267 450.333 11.167 -13.717 0.000 0.000 2005 6.928 1.409 467.833 11.400 -18.375 0.000 0.000 2010 7.312 1.552 485.333 11.633 -23.033 0.000 0.000 2015 7.544 1.735 496.500 11.967 -27.692 0.000 0.000 2020 7.775 1.918 507.667 12.300 -32.350 0.000 0.000 2025 8.029 1.752 515.500 12.417 -32.491 0.000 0.000 2050 9.295 0.918 554.667 13.000 -33.195 0.000 0.000 2075 7.645 1.118 523.167 12.550 -41.288 0.000 0.000 2100 5.995 1.318 491.667 12.100 -49.380 0.000 0.000 11 NEW-B1-K2 Corrected - SRES B1 marker scenario with the KP entering into force and constant Annex-I emissions from 2010 Year Foss CO2 Defo CO2 CH4 N2O SO2,1 SO2,2 SO2,3 (Pg C) (Pg C) (Tg) (Tg N) (Tg S) (Tg S) (Tg S) 1990 6.080 0.900 428.000 10.500 -4.400 0.000 0.000 1995 6.312 1.083 439.167 10.833 -9.058 0.000 0.000 2000 6.543 1.267 450.333 11.167 -13.717 0.000 0.000 2005 6.928 1.409 467.833 11.400 -18.375 0.000 0.000 2010 7.312 1.552 485.333 11.633 -23.033 0.000 0.000 2015 7.675 1.718 499.667 11.917 -27.692 0.000 0.000 2020 8.039 1.885 514.000 12.200 -32.350 0.000 0.000 2025 8.387 1.685 522.333 12.317 -32.491 0.000 0.000 2050 10.129 0.685 546.000 12.900 -33.195 0.000 0.000 2075 8.744 0.735 534.000 12.500 -41.288 0.000 0.000 2100 7.359 0.785 504.000 12.100 -49.380 0.000 0.000 11 NEW-B1-K3A Corrected - SRES B1 marker scenario with the KP entering into force and further reductions by Annex-I Parties, reaching a 60% reduction in 2100 Year Foss CO2 Defo CO2 CH4 N2O SO2,1 SO2,2 SO2,3 (Pg C) (Pg C) (Tg) (Tg N) (Tg S) (Tg S) (Tg S) 1990 6.080 0.900 428.000 10.500 -4.400 0.000 0.000 1995 6.312 1.083 439.167 10.833 -9.058 0.000 0.000 2000 6.543 1.267 450.333 11.167 -13.717 0.000 0.000 2005 6.928 1.409 467.833 11.400 -18.375 0.000 0.000 2010 7.312 1.552 485.333 11.633 -23.033 0.000 0.000 2015 7.564 1.711 499.667 11.917 -27.692 0.000 0.000 2020 7.817 1.870 514.000 12.200 -32.350 0.000 0.000 2025 8.077 1.664 522.333 12.317 -32.491 0.000 0.000 2050 9.464 0.640 564.000 12.900 -33.195 0.000 0.000 2075 7.193 0.630 534.000 12.500 -41.288 0.000 0.000 2100 4.922 0.620 504.000 12.100 -49.380 0.000 0.000 11 NEW-B1-K3B Corrected - SRES B1 marker scenario with the KP entering into force, 60% reduciton by Annex-I Parties up to 2100 and 20% reduction by non-Annex-I countries (with 2020 as a baseline year) Year Foss CO2 Defo CO2 CH4 N2O SO2,1 SO2,2 SO2,3 (Pg C) (Pg C) (Tg) (Tg N) (Tg S) (Tg S) (Tg S) 1990 6.080 0.900 428.000 10.500 -4.400 0.000 0.000 1995 6.312 1.083 439.167 10.833 -9.058 0.000 0.000 2000 6.543 1.267 450.333 11.167 -13.717 0.000 0.000 2005 6.928 1.409 467.833 11.400 -18.375 0.000 0.000 2010 7.312 1.552 485.333 11.633 -23.033 0.000 0.000 2015 7.564 1.711 499.667 11.917 -27.692 0.000 0.000 2020 7.817 1.870 514.000 12.200 -32.350 0.000 0.000 2025 7.728 1.864 514.000 12.200 -32.491 0.000 0.000 2050 7.183 1.760 514.000 12.200 -33.195 0.000 0.000 2075 6.105 1.620 514.000 12.200 -41.288 0.000 0.000 2100 4.836 1.400 514.000 12.200 -49.380 0.000 0.000 11 NEW-B1-K3C Corrected - SRES B1 marker scenario with the KP entering into force, 60% reduciton by Annex-I Parties up to 2100 and 20% reduction by non-Annex-I countries (with 2050 as a baseline year) Year Foss CO2 Defo CO2 CH4 N2O SO2,1 SO2,2 SO2,3 (Pg C) (Pg C) (Tg) (Tg N) (Tg S) (Tg S) (Tg S) 1990 6.080 0.900 428.000 10.500 -4.400 0.000 0.000 1995 6.312 1.083 439.167 10.833 -9.058 0.000 0.000 2000 6.543 1.267 450.333 11.167 -13.717 0.000 0.000 2005 6.928 1.409 467.833 11.400 -18.375 0.000 0.000 2010 7.312 1.552 485.333 11.633 -23.033 0.000 0.000 2015 7.564 1.711 499.667 11.917 -27.692 0.000 0.000 2020 7.817 1.870 514.000 12.200 -32.350 0.000 0.000 2025 8.077 1.664 522.333 12.317 -32.491 0.000 0.000 2050 9.464 0.640 564.000 12.900 -33.195 0.000 0.000 2075 7.986 0.540 564.000 12.900 -41.288 0.000 0.000 2100 6.508 0.440 564.000 12.900 -49.380 0.000 0.000 11 NEW-B2-K1 Corrected - SRES B2 marker scenario with the KP entering into force and no further reductions Year Foss CO2 Defo CO2 CH4 N2O SO2,1 SO2,2 SO2,3 (Pg C) (Pg C) (Tg) (Tg N) (Tg S) (Tg S) (Tg S) 1990 6.461 1.010 318.307 6.313 -5.987 0.000 0.000 1995 6.949 1.068 339.853 6.388 -7.658 0.000 0.000 2000 7.437 1.126 361.399 6.463 -9.328 0.000 0.000 2005 7.684 1.220 384.404 6.629 -10.999 0.000 0.000 2010 7.931 1.293 407.409 6.794 -12.670 0.000 0.000 2015 8.419 1.351 428.955 6.870 -14.340 0.000 0.000 2020 8.907 1.409 450.501 6.945 -16.011 0.000 0.000 2025 9.277 1.112 465.582 6.757 -17.189 0.000 0.000 2050 11.125 -0.378 540.986 5.818 -23.081 0.000 0.000 2075 12.415 -0.267 526.290 5.338 -27.559 0.000 0.000 2100 13.705 -0.156 511.593 4.857 -32.036 0.000 0.000 11 NEW-B2-K2 Corrected - SRES B2 marker scenario with the KP entering into force and constant Annex-I emissions from 2010 Year Foss CO2 Defo CO2 CH4 N2O SO2,1 SO2,2 SO2,3 (Pg C) (Pg C) (Tg) (Tg N) (Tg S) (Tg S) (Tg S) 1990 6.461 1.010 318.307 6.313 -5.987 0.000 0.000 1995 6.949 1.068 339.853 6.388 -7.658 0.000 0.000 2000 7.437 1.126 361.399 6.463 -9.328 0.000 0.000 2005 7.684 1.210 384.404 6.629 -10.999 0.000 0.000 2010 7.931 1.293 407.409 6.794 -12.670 0.000 0.000 2015 8.355 1.363 429.685 6.915 -14.340 0.000 0.000 2020 8.778 1.433 415.961 7.035 -16.011 0.000 0.000 2025 9.150 1.127 465.724 6.903 -17.189 0.000 0.000 2050 11.008 -0.404 534.541 6.243 -23.081 0.000 0.000 2075 12.405 -0.287 519.167 6.085 -27.559 0.000 0.000 2100 13.802 -0.170 503.794 5.928 -32.036 0.000 0.000 11 NEW-B2-K3A Corrected - SRES B2 marker scenario with the KP entering into force and further reductions by Annex-I Parties, reaching a 60% reduction in 2100 Year Foss CO2 Defo CO2 CH4 N2O SO2,1 SO2,2 SO2,3 (Pg C) (Pg C) (Tg) (Tg N) (Tg S) (Tg S) (Tg S) 1990 6.461 1.010 318.307 6.313 -5.987 0.000 0.000 1995 6.949 1.068 339.853 6.388 -7.658 0.000 0.000 2000 7.437 1.126 361.399 6.463 -9.328 0.000 0.000 2005 7.684 1.210 384.404 6.629 -10.999 0.000 0.000 2010 7.931 1.293 407.409 6.794 -12.670 0.000 0.000 2015 8.243 1.365 429.685 6.915 -14.340 0.000 0.000 2020 8.554 1.436 451.961 7.035 -16.011 0.000 0.000 2025 8.837 1.132 465.724 6.903 -17.189 0.000 0.000 2050 10.336 -0.393 534.541 6.243 -23.081 0.000 0.000 2075 10.838 -0.262 519.167 6.085 -27.559 0.000 0.000 2100 11.340 -0.132 503.794 5.928 -32.036 0.000 0.000 11 NEW-B2-K3B Corrected - SRES B2 marker scenario with the KP entering into force, 60% reduciton by Annex-I Parties up to 2100 and 20% reduction by non-Annex-I countries (with 2020 as a baseline year) Year Foss CO2 Defo CO2 CH4 N2O SO2,1 SO2,2 SO2,3 (Pg C) (Pg C) (Tg) (Tg N) (Tg S) (Tg S) (Tg S) 1990 6.461 1.010 318.307 6.313 -5.987 0.000 0.000 1995 6.949 1.068 339.853 6.388 -7.658 0.000 0.000 2000 7.437 1.126 361.399 6.463 -9.328 0.000 0.000 2005 7.684 1.210 384.404 6.629 -10.999 0.000 0.000 2010 7.931 1.293 407.409 6.794 -12.670 0.000 0.000 2015 8.243 1.365 429.685 6.915 -14.340 0.000 0.000 2020 8.554 1.436 451.961 7.035 -16.011 0.000 0.000 2025 8.465 1.438 451.961 7.035 -17.189 0.000 0.000 2050 7.881 1.368 451.961 7.035 -23.081 0.000 0.000 2075 6.759 1.307 451.961 7.035 -27.559 0.000 0.000 2100 5.411 1.172 451.961 7.035 -32.036 0.000 0.000 11 NEW-B2-K3C Corrected - SRES B2 marker scenario with the KP entering into force, 60% reduciton by Annex-I Parties up to 2100 and 20% reduction by non-Annex-I countries (with 2050 as a baseline year) Year Foss CO2 Defo CO2 CH4 N2O SO2,1 SO2,2 SO2,3 (Pg C) (Pg C) (Tg) (Tg N) (Tg S) (Tg S) (Tg S) 1990 6.461 1.010 318.307 6.313 -5.987 0.000 0.000 1995 6.949 1.068 339.853 6.388 -7.658 0.000 0.000 2000 7.437 1.126 361.399 6.463 -9.328 0.000 0.000 2005 7.684 1.210 384.404 6.629 -10.999 0.000 0.000 2010 7.931 1.293 407.409 6.794 -12.670 0.000 0.000 2015 8.243 1.365 429.685 6.915 -14.340 0.000 0.000 2020 8.554 1.436 451.961 7.035 -16.011 0.000 0.000 2025 8.837 1.132 456.724 6.903 -17.189 0.000 0.000 2050 10.336 -0.393 534.541 6.243 -23.081 0.000 0.000 2075 8.765 -0.346 534.541 6.243 -27.559 0.000 0.000 2100 7.195 -0.298 534.541 6.243 -32.036 0.000 0.000