date: Wed Feb 2 10:23:07 2005 from: Phil Jones subject: For your eyes only to: mann@virginia.edu Mike, Just received these - for your interest really. Maybe you've not seen the Dutch one in final form. Don't know what the German one says ! A paper will be in the Feb 10 issue of Nature. The press should be onto you about it at some point soon. Keith and Tim away this week. I'm off Feb 6-10 and 12-20, so won't be commenting unless called this week. Just had a call, so said what I was going to send. MM is so off the wall. Even the paper to come out on Feb 10 (which has problems and issues) has the 15th century as one of the cool ones. This will be the point to make if I do get any calls. In fact the MBH98/99 15th century is the nearest (but still miles away) from MM. Esper, Briffa, me, Crowley, the boreholes and Uncle Tom Cobbly and all (even von Storch et al) are slightly cooler than you in the 15th century. What a truly appalling article. I assume you have chapter and verse on realclimate.org. The IPCC Chapters (ZODs) are there on a protected site. You should get a copy from either Peck, Keith or Eystein for interest. Kevin Trenberth and me will be sending our chapter to all our CAs. I assume Ch 6 will do the same. Kevin seems to have been through the mill recently. Chris Landsea said he wouldn't be a CA for us in November. Why it has surfaced now is beyond me. He didn't resign in January. He was in a polite terms told by Susan Solomon that we could do without him in late November. Just to show you I do other things here are two other pdfs. One is the paper that I sent you some time ago to help a case against Pielke. The other shows that HadRM3 needs validation against observations - something the HC don't seem too keen to tell people when they say how good their RM is. This paper is in a 2004 issue of CD despite the filename CD used when they sent it to us. I'll try and dig out some long instrumental series to send to Scott. In a month or so, send me an email saying what about Illarionov and I'll see if I can send you a paper of his I have. The HC are hoping to discuss it with him this week in Exeter. In it he argues that the error on the instrumental warming is +/- 0.7 deg C, so we can't say there is any warming at all ! His arguments make Cheers Phil PS Other two were too large so sending separately Prof. Phil Jones Climatic Research Unit Telephone +44 (0) 1603 592090 School of Environmental Sciences Fax +44 (0) 1603 507784 University of East Anglia Norwich Email p.jones@uea.ac.uk NR4 7TJ UK ----------------------------------------------------------------------------