cc: Mike Wallace date: Tue Apr 15 14:48:27 2008 from: Phil Jones subject: Re: Press release to: David Thompson , John Kennedy John, Meant to reply earlier but got sidetracked. Sounds good. Reiterating why the recent cooling is occurring would be useful. Another way of showing this is to take two of Dave's series. You have one - HadCRUT3v monthly the other is the file Dave has sent me. This is the ENSO component. If Dave has this up to date, you could then show global T without ENSO. Worth considering when you discuss things with Chris. It will play down 97/98 and play up recent values. Might only need to show raw and ENSO factored out for the last 20 years. Don't factor COWL out - as that might be more influenced by global warming, not that ENSO isn't.... Cheers Phil At 14:15 15/04/2008, David Thompson wrote: John, This sounds like a good plan. I expect we'll get the proofs in a few weeks... my best guess is that the paper will appear late May or early June. Phil: what are your thoughts? Do you want to entrain Dick? -Dave On Apr 14, 2008, at 5:31 PM, John Kennedy wrote: Dear all, We (David Parker, myself, Chris Folland's successor and others) are having a meeting here later this week to discuss this. I thought that given the recent interest in the relatively low global temperatures in Jan and Feb 2008, it might be interesting to run the filtered series up to the present. I don't know how easy this would be to do, but I expect it would show that the dip at the start of this year is associated with internal variability - chiefly La Nina. Dave, do you know (roughly) when the paper will appear? John On Mon, 2008-04-14 at 17:00 +0100, David Thompson wrote: Hi Phil (and John), I agree a preemptive press release is a very good idea (I've chatted with Mike and he shares this view, too). As for logistics: do you and John (that is: UEA and the Hadley Centre) want to craft the first draft? Mike and I could then offer comments on the draft (Mike might even run the release by the UW press folks to get their opinion). I don't plan to involve the CSU press folks with the exception of sending them the final version. I don't have any specific suggestions, except that it might be nice to consider a "question and answer" format which clarifies what the results do and do not say about the quality of the data. I'm not entirely comfortable asking the editor to do a news and views item, since that seems like the editor's role. But if you feel strongly about this, I could send him a short email suggesting a possible author (Dick Reynolds). -Dave -- John Kennedy Climate Monitoring and Research Scientist Met Office Hadley Centre FitzRoy Road Exeter EX1 3PB Tel: +44 (0)1392 885105 Fax: +44 (0)1392 885681 E-mail: [1]john.kennedy@metoffice.gov.uk [2]http://www.metoffice.gov.uk Global climate data sets are available from [3]http://www.hadobs.org -------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------------------- David W. J. Thompson [4]www.atmos.colostate.edu/~davet Dept of Atmospheric Science Colorado State University Fort Collins, CO 80523 USA Phone: 970-491-3338 Fax: 970-491-8449 Prof. Phil Jones Climatic Research Unit Telephone +44 (0) 1603 592090 School of Environmental Sciences Fax +44 (0) 1603 507784 University of East Anglia Norwich Email p.jones@uea.ac.uk NR4 7TJ UK ----------------------------------------------------------------------------