date: Mon, 02 Jul 2001 09:29:17 +0100 from: Noam Bergman subject: Re: [ngp-list] Press Release 'Global Warning' talk establishes to: list@norwichgreenparty.org SRosswag@aol.com wrote: > > PRESS RELEASE > > He said: " The climate of the future is what we make it. > According to the IPCC, ( Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) the world > can > expect a rise in temperature as large as 6 degrees by 2100, or as little as > 2.5 degrees centigrade. The difference between temperature forceasts depends > on the societies and the economies we create within the next 30 years. > Within the lifetime of one generation, our children will experience sea level > rises by either 50 centimeters or as low as 20 centimetress above current sea > levels, reflecting a temperature rise of 2.3 degrees or 1.2 degrees > respectively. Take your pick , it's up to all of us." > Are you sure about this? As far as I know, much of the difference between the scenarios is model dependent and prediction uncertainty. What we do has a major role of course, but let's make sure the science is right. ----------------------------------------------------------- Artificial intelligence is no match for natural stupidity! Noam Bergman :-) School of Environmental Sciences University of East Anglia, Norwich, NR4 7TJ, UK (office) (44) 1603 593324 (mobile) (44) 7968 217077