cc: d.wratt@niwa.cri.nz date: Mon May 23 13:39:54 2005 from: Phil Jones subject: Re: Latest draft text to: Kevin Trenberth , Kevin Trenberth , Peter Ambenje , Roxana Bojariu , David Easterling , David Parker , Fatemeh Rahimzadeh , Jim Renwick , Matilde Rusticucci , Brian Soden , Panmao Zhai , Albert Klein Tank Dear All, Kevin is having a couple of weeks off, so I'll be working on the text this week and next. So send revised pieces of text or your suggestions for changes as soon as you have them. Apologies if the UEA system is bouncing emails. Everything crashed over the weekend and it is slowly coming back. I've heard from Panmao (he'll send a revised 3.7 in the next few days) and Fatima (comments by Friday). Any other comments on the new CQs and the rest of Kevin's points by Friday and I'll incorporate them all next week. In the meantime, let me know of any problems with the schedule we agreed in Beijing for the figures and major text revisions (i.e 3.3 for Dave, 3.4.x for Brian, 3.5-3.6 from Jim/Roxana and 3.8 for Albert). I'll be able to go through sections with you before merging them into the full version. Getting all the figures together is the first priority. I expect to finish 3.2 in the next couple of days and would like to help with 3.3 and 3.8 next week. As for Kevin's points, #5 is an amazing revelation, but I've already heard that UAH are wriggling and trying to reduce the effects in their reworking. The sondes do appear to be the outlier now work is underway for tropical sondes to separate day and night launches. All the new work should make this section easier to write and a significant advance for AR4. Cheers Phil At 23:07 19/05/2005, Kevin Trenberth wrote: Hi everyone We presume most of you are working diligently on the FOID when you can? I have tried to advance the text in several respects. 1) A new CQ has been added, please check it out. Some accommodation to CQ 1 may be needed. I include a possible figure here. Other options should be proposed. 2) I removed box 3.4 and I think I renumbered all. I put a little of the text from there into the main text. 3) I have to say I am confused over droughts, I understand the decision was to leave the main discussion in 3.3? Not sure how this works? 4) Brian mentioned moving suface water vapor to 3.4. Organizationally it does not make sense, so I have not done that. 5) I have revamped once again 3.4.1. Some amazing new dvelopments have occurred. Following the submission of the Mears and Wentz paper and the Santer et al paper (both now included), at the CCSP mtg this week, Spencer agreed that T2LT is flawed and will be redone. It could be redone quite quickly: in a couple of months (not in time for FOD). It makes all the stuff Christy has done on comparisons with sondes moot and recovering from this will take a lot longer. The sondes are emerging as the outliers in the tropics. The Fu method will now be embraced by CCSP (as we have already done). 6) I added a para on the 3 new figures, which I am fan of, on SST lat time sections. Just a place holder in red. 7) All the hurricane section has been upgraded and redone substantially. This also brings in the new figure. 8) Some references have been removed. I also highlighted some older ones that are candidates for removal. 9) Sections 3.5 and 3.6 are up to date. 3.7 still needs a lot of work. Figures are being done. 10) 3.3 is the only section untouched by me. 11) 3.4.x, x>2 needs work; waiting on Brian. 13) 3.8 also need work and so does CQ 1. The results of the regional wrokshops must be included soon. 14) I edited Boxes 3.2 and 3.4. I have not revisited Box 3.1. I will cc David Wratt on this to check out the new CQ. Regards Kevin -- **************** Kevin E. Trenberth e-mail: trenbert@ucar.edu Climate Analysis Section, NCAR [1]www.cgd.ucar.edu/cas/ P. O. Box 3000, (303) 497 1318 Boulder, CO 80307 (303) 497 1333 (fax) Street address: 1850 Table Mesa Drive, Boulder, CO 80303 Prof. Phil Jones Climatic Research Unit Telephone +44 (0) 1603 592090 School of Environmental Sciences Fax +44 (0) 1603 507784 University of East Anglia Norwich Email p.jones@uea.ac.uk NR4 7TJ UK ----------------------------------------------------------------------------