date: Tue Jan 15 09:13:20 2008
from: Phil Jones
subject: Re: HADCRUT3 data
to: Phil Green
Phil,
Have you looked at the papers that are on our temperature page? These
have some of the details. Most of the issues you rise have been discussed
in these or earlier papers.
For the 1950s (1951-60) WMO through its 10-year books issued a
lot more station data than they had in the 1940s. These continued for
the 1960s, 1970s, 1980s and 1990s. These only get issued at the
end of each decade. It isn't at the end, but often about 5 years
afterwards. The 1990s were issued a couple of years ago. We add these
data in when they become available. All these sets of 10-year books
are put together by NCDC in Asheville, NC for WMO. WMO sends out letters
to each National Met Service, but they take years sending in any data for some
countries.
The drop at the end of 1996 is due almost entirely to fewer US stations. As
we already have more stations per area in the US than almost anywhere else
(except a few European countries), we haven't bothered updating the US series.
I suspect that it is Nov/Dec 1996 because of when we added more US stations.
We still have more US stations per unit area than anywhere else - even in 2007.
So, this is all a case of data access and not loads of stations stopping at some
point (e.g. 1996) or starting (1950). I suspect that the 1951 was more stations
starting around the 1945-50 period, but access to a lot of data in the 1940s was poor.
This was worse for SST data for obvious reasons.
There was a little bit of a decrease is surface station reporting in the 1990s, but this
is partly political and partly logistic. First changes in fUSSR reduced stations
there, but it is improving a little recently. Even now numbers aren't as bad as some
other regions in the tropics, but we did have a good dataset from fUSSR up to the late
1980s.
Russia is still better and consistent than lots of other countries (e.g. Brazil).
Elsewhere - in developed countries, automation has come. Many countries give these sites
new station ids, but they are often at the same locations as the manned sites. It takes us
a while to locate these, as WMO don't issue new ids that frequently - what they call
volume A.
Some countries occasionally issue a lot of back data, which we add, but then don't
issue so many sites in real time. We do better keeping track of this for English speaking
countries.
Most countries have loads more stations than the issue, so the US isn't unique in this.
I recently saw a Chinese average based on 700+ sites from 1951. We only get about 60
sites from China each month. 60 is enough though for us.
Hope this helps.
Phil
At 22:41 14/01/2008, you wrote:
Dear Dr Jones:
I am writing a general interest book on measurement and its difficulties, and one of my
chapters deals with measuring global (or hemispheric) temperature means. I recently
downloaded the Hadcrut3 database and analysed it in a variety of ways to gain a better
understanding. John Kennedy subsequently sent me some data (attached) on the number of
stations that were reporting every year and month. I had some questions for him but he
suggested you would be a greater authority on this topic. I hope you will feel these
questions worthy of a response.
I attach a chart of the number of land stations per month. There are several instances
where at year-end the number of stations reporting jumps up or down. For example, in
1950-12 there were 2,973 stations; in 1951-1 there are 3,443; a one month jump of almost
500 stations. Likewise in 1996-11 there are 2,708 stations and then 1996-12 there are
1,831 : a drop of almost 900 stations. I have indicated a few more such jumps or drops
with arrows. All occur between Dec and Jan, except 1996 which occurs between Nov and
Dec.
1. If you could clarify this pattern for me I'd be most grateful.
2. Do I understand correctly that the decreasing number of stations seen from 1990
onwards is a not an indication of the number of physical land stations, but of the
problems of collecting the data and entering it into your database? or is there an
actual decrease in the number of reporting stations from 1990 onwards? It is this latter
point which I am most anxious to clarify, as one would expect the opposite.
Gratefully yours,
Pihl Green
--
Philip Green
President
Greenbridge Management Inc.
905-271-6262
[1]http://www.greenbridge.com
1850 1 110 1895
1850 2 109 2010
1850 3 110 2238
1850 4 108 2305
1850 5 109 2255
1850 6 109 2389
1850 7 111 2456
1850 8 110 2625
1850 9 110 2116
1850 10 112 1896
1850 11 112 1981
1850 12 112 2029
1851 1 127 1948
1851 2 128 1917
1851 3 128 1733
1851 4 127 1779
1851 5 126 1828
1851 6 127 1815
1851 7 124 1854
1851 8 125 2209
1851 9 122 1716
1851 10 125 1514
1851 11 125 1428
1851 12 127 1540
1852 1 132 1541
1852 2 131 1766
1852 3 133 1829
1852 4 133 2069
1852 5 133 2159
1852 6 131 2279
1852 7 131 2049
1852 8 132 1987
1852 9 132 1800
1852 10 132 2113
1852 11 132 2078
1852 12 133 2101
1853 1 129 2246
1853 2 129 2782
1853 3 130 3086
1853 4 127 2876
1853 5 128 3097
1853 6 129 3157
1853 7 127 3194
1853 8 127 3409
1853 9 126 2685
1853 10 127 2564
1853 11 128 2361
1853 12 130 2570
1854 1 142 2427
1854 2 139 2743
1854 3 140 3199
1854 4 138 2884
1854 5 140 3499
1854 6 140 4017
1854 7 141 4429
1854 8 143 6764
1854 9 143 5589
1854 10 147 5064
1854 11 148 5950
1854 12 145 5770
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1855 2 148 6017
1855 3 152 5084
1855 4 151 6104
1855 5 152 5306
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1855 7 151 6152
1855 8 150 8271
1855 9 149 6765
1855 10 149 5807
1855 11 150 5456
1855 12 149 5801
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1856 2 161 6178
1856 3 161 5808
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1856 5 164 5342
1856 6 165 5908
1856 7 164 5470
1856 8 161 6497
1856 9 161 5162
1856 10 160 4859
1856 11 163 5953
1856 12 161 5674
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1857 5 169 6840
1857 6 168 6432
1857 7 166 6365
1857 8 163 6657
1857 9 166 5318
1857 10 168 5271
1857 11 168 5265
1857 12 170 5918
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1858 5 176 6253
1858 6 175 5598
1858 7 172 5999
1858 8 171 6712
1858 9 169 4830
1858 10 170 3759
1858 11 168 4272
1858 12 170 4159
1859 1 176 4265
1859 2 177 4666
1859 3 178 4519
1859 4 170 3938
1859 5 175 3971
1859 6 173 3574
1859 7 174 4100
1859 8 170 4200
1859 9 173 3157
1859 10 173 2969
1859 11 173 3242
1859 12 174 3846
1860 1 168 4426
1860 2 167 4043
1860 3 166 4122
1860 4 165 3733
1860 5 166 3405
1860 6 165 3541
1860 7 168 4239
1860 8 165 5022
1860 9 170 3953
1860 10 173 3505
1860 11 170 4131
1860 12 172 3840
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1861 8 168 4360
1861 9 172 3436
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1862 11 171 3886
1862 12 174 3695
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1863 5 172 5078
1863 6 174 5041
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1863 9 169 4682
1863 10 171 5036
1863 11 174 4687
1863 12 175 4375
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1865 6 195 4176
1865 7 192 3545
1865 8 194 4155
1865 9 195 3448
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1865 12 198 5379
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1866 5 211 4183
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1866 7 207 4748
1866 8 205 5248
1866 9 215 4348
1866 10 216 4495
1866 11 213 4234
1866 12 215 3439
1867 1 220 2952
1867 2 220 4187
1867 3 217 4898
1867 4 216 4617
1867 5 216 4049
1867 6 219 4356
1867 7 215 3993
1867 8 215 4649
1867 9 221 4178
1867 10 222 4143
1867 11 219 4355
1867 12 219 4584
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1868 2 225 3924
1868 3 229 4720
1868 4 227 4985
1868 5 229 5852
1868 6 228 5424
1868 7 227 5297
1868 8 229 4982
1868 9 231 5025
1868 10 227 5628
1868 11 230 5171
1868 12 231 5128
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1869 4 228 5051
1869 5 227 5355
1869 6 230 5327
1869 7 225 5990
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1888 11 633 17214
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1891 12 867 11851
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1892 2 908 12310
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1892 4 914 12830
1892 5 945 13304
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1892 7 944 13078
1892 8 951 14643
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1892 10 940 13004
1892 11 948 14186
1892 12 931 11562
1893 1 975 12689
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1893 5 999 14729
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1895 1 1089 17348
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1895 3 1111 14864
1895 4 1119 14941
1895 5 1128 17567
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1895 8 1141 21357
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1895 10 1156 19758
1895 11 1140 18070
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1896 1 1168 15543
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1898 4 1260 16586
1898 5 1269 15843
1898 6 1269 17641
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1898 8 1261 22885
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1898 10 1276 18805
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1899 1 1275 17903
1899 2 1284 17276
1899 3 1281 18394
1899 4 1285 17277
1899 5 1296 18002
1899 6 1295 18983
1899 7 1286 16866
1899 8 1291 17648
1899 9 1301 14420
1899 10 1304 16023
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1900 1 1343 12471
1900 2 1346 12931
1900 3 1363 14554
1900 4 1367 14680
1900 5 1372 14708
1900 6 1361 13297
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1900 8 1359 14930
1900 9 1359 14646
1900 10 1361 14049
1900 11 1351 13455
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1901 6 1399 13003
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1901 8 1398 17641
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1901 12 1408 16232
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1902 4 1434 22208
1902 5 1446 23549
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1902 7 1431 21552
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1902 11 1424 22855
1902 12 1442 20796
1903 1 1470 20200
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1903 5 1479 23837
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1903 8 1472 28750
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1905 5 1560 31485
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1906 5 1592 33866
1906 6 1592 34706
1906 7 1583 35925
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1907 1 1657 29874
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1909 5 1736 43212
1909 6 1746 43374
1909 7 1740 46622
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1909 10 1744 47417
1909 11 1752 48628
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1910 3 1793 48630
1910 4 1796 49503
1910 5 1789 52616
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1910 7 1781 54417
1910 8 1794 62702
1910 9 1789 56000
1910 10 1788 57377
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1910 12 1791 55234
1911 1 1820 55768
1911 2 1830 53355
1911 3 1819 55890
1911 4 1824 54025
1911 5 1823 57810
1911 6 1826 54737
1911 7 1828 57341
1911 8 1826 68342
1911 9 1832 54584
1911 10 1843 56562
1911 11 1833 56786
1911 12 1843 54854
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1912 3 1868 51982
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1912 5 1863 54769
1912 6 1869 53957
1912 7 1866 57524
1912 8 1870 64488
1912 9 1863 56839
1912 10 1871 57017
1912 11 1881 56610
1912 12 1884 58321
1913 1 1905 67672
1913 2 1906 69820
1913 3 1914 71478
1913 4 1920 67577
1913 5 1911 66959
1913 6 1921 67895
1913 7 1899 69480
1913 8 1909 79888
1913 9 1908 67550
1913 10 1910 66264
1913 11 1917 67492
1913 12 1923 65864
1914 1 1967 62346
1914 2 1955 64480
1914 3 1948 61978
1914 4 1945 56283
1914 5 1955 52789
1914 6 1960 47479
1914 7 1950 36715
1914 8 1961 24746
1914 9 1966 17661
1914 10 1972 19641
1914 11 1971 21382
1914 12 1966 20156
1915 1 1968 21045
1915 2 1972 22900
1915 3 1969 24118
1915 4 1966 23425
1915 5 1960 23864
1915 6 1965 24569
1915 7 1967 22414
1915 8 1964 26990
1915 9 1973 23725
1915 10 1975 23501
1915 11 1978 23833
1915 12 1975 23158
1916 1 1988 22238
1916 2 1992 23786
1916 3 1985 22956
1916 4 1985 21098
1916 5 1980 21599
1916 6 1986 21835
1916 7 1993 20411
1916 8 1984 25898
1916 9 1992 21309
1916 10 1999 21075
1916 11 1980 21426
1916 12 1989 20607
1917 1 2010 18841
1917 2 2003 17297
1917 3 2002 17588
1917 4 2010 17369
1917 5 2003 17875
1917 6 2006 17923
1917 7 2010 18037
1917 8 2008 19654
1917 9 2010 16727
1917 10 1997 16211
1917 11 1990 15774
1917 12 2000 14595
1918 1 2007 13785
1918 2 2013 13355
1918 3 2011 12763
1918 4 2020 10487
1918 5 2021 11282
1918 6 2010 12143
1918 7 2006 12436
1918 8 2015 15261
1918 9 2008 11796
1918 10 2003 12159
1918 11 1985 11588
1918 12 1993 10961
1919 1 2002 11972
1919 2 2014 12642
1919 3 2010 14250
1919 4 2013 13302
1919 5 2015 15645
1919 6 2020 17283
1919 7 2011 16111
1919 8 2010 16135
1919 9 2001 14870
1919 10 1975 18732
1919 11 1983 19738
1919 12 2002 17756
1920 1 2000 15914
1920 2 2013 18090
1920 3 2010 14784
1920 4 2007 16036
1920 5 2005 17323
1920 6 2014 18143
1920 7 2002 21347
1920 8 2010 26829
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2001 7 1394 358135
2001 8 1424 443623
2001 9 1416 392191
2001 10 1397 395581
2001 11 1380 387252
2001 12 1378 371474
2002 1 1373 378807
2002 2 1387 378673
2002 3 1412 380143
2002 4 1389 423277
2002 5 1393 436461
2002 6 1406 446232
2002 7 1405 427782
2002 8 1401 529925
2002 9 1436 408815
2002 10 1421 407576
2002 11 1438 402362
2002 12 1426 404481
2003 1 1431 389873
2003 2 1416 401964
2003 3 1377 412023
2003 4 1399 416784
2003 5 1410 465767
2003 6 1411 502345
2003 7 1380 496224
2003 8 1368 582494
2003 9 1411 505112
2003 10 1442 489224
2003 11 1410 458436
2003 12 1432 462667
2004 1 1455 453682
2004 2 1424 460367
2004 3 1417 474026
2004 4 1379 483542
2004 5 1375 492803
2004 6 1357 491132
2004 7 1382 509813
2004 8 1358 593722
2004 9 1381 519319
2004 10 1358 524451
2004 11 1340 520969
2004 12 1381 506139
2005 1 1397 522540
2005 2 1371 725158
2005 3 1368 712198
2005 4 1385 708032
2005 5 1373 758473
2005 6 1385 812630
2005 7 1378 933012
2005 8 1390 1147076
2005 9 1390 975411
2005 10 1430 1045093
2005 11 1473 1044897
2005 12 1441 1055235
2006 1 1391 1085075
2006 2 1449 1095210
2006 3 1450 1067788
2006 4 1438 1081845
2006 5 1428 1059323
2006 6 1273 1019208
2006 7 1269 1060929
2006 8 1230 1252968
2006 9 1192 1049753
2006 10 1258 1037722
2006 11 1288 1081240
2006 12 1220 1071041
2007 1 1191 1047173
2007 2 1167 1050216
2007 3 1147 1037870
2007 4 1163 1051157
2007 5 1165 1025338
2007 6 1188 920330
2007 7 1180 940067
2007 8 1138 1132323
2007 9 1192 1018359
2007 10 1146 995136
2007 11 1081 1034062
Prof. Phil Jones
Climatic Research Unit Telephone +44 (0) 1603 592090
School of Environmental Sciences Fax +44 (0) 1603 507784
University of East Anglia
Norwich Email p.jones@uea.ac.uk
NR4 7TJ
UK
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