date: Fri, 29 Sep 2006 09:46:51 +0100 from: "Saffron O'Neill" subject: Fw: Arctic model simulations for A1B to 2050? to: Good news, hopefully! Saffron ----- Original Message ----- From: "Xiangdong Zhang" To: "Saffron O'Neill" Cc: "Xiangdong Zhang" Sent: Thursday, September 28, 2006 12:19 AM Subject: Re: Arctic model simulations for A1B to 2050? > Dear Saffron, > > Thanks for your email and glad to learn your interesting work. It is > important to build an effective bridge between climate change study > and general public/policy-maker. > > As you can see from my paper, I did analysis from some time in the 19th > century to the end of the 21st century. The data to 2050 was naturally > involved. Recently, an increasing number of people hope to see what sea > ice cover over the Arctic Ocean would like in the middle of 21st century > in addition to the total area which I showed in my paper. So, I plotted > figures showing 2-D distribution of sea ice concentrations around 2050 > and also animations from 1900-2100 under the A1B scenario. I am going to > put them on a website soon. > > If you have any questions or need any help I can do, please let me know. > > Cheers, > Xiangdong > > > On Mon, Sep 25, 2006 at 05:18:24PM +0100, Saffron O'Neill wrote: >> Dear Xiangdong Zhang >> >> I am a PhD researcher supervised by Prof. Mike Hulme and Dr. Tim Osborn >> at >> the Tyndall Centre, UEA. >> >> My research is centred around finding more salient methods of >> communicating >> climate change to the lay-public. My PhD is interdisciplinary, and aims >> to >> harness the emotive and visual power of 'icons' with a rigorous >> scientific >> analysis of possible changes under SRES A1B to 2050. These parameters >> have >> been chosen to represent a middle-range scenario within a timescale that >> the >> public can conceptualise. I've attached my PhD abstract should you want >> to >> know more. >> >> I am interested in the results of your paper 'Towards a seasonally >> ice-covered Arctic Ocean'. I see here you have used a large number of >> model >> simulations to 2100. I was wondering if you had analysed or plotted the >> results of the models with scenario A1B to 2050? - as one of the icons >> chosen was the polar bear, and consequently I am searching for sea-ice >> area >> models. >> >> I would greatly appreciate any assistance with this. >> >> Regards, >> >> Saffron O'Neill >> >> Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research >> Zuckerman Institute for Connective Environmental Research >> School of Environmental Sciences >> University of East Anglia >> Norwich, NR4 7TJ >> United Kingdom >> >> T: +44 (0) 1603 593 911 >> F: +44 (0) 1603 593 901 >> E-mail: s.o-neill@uea.ac.uk >> Web: http://www.tyndall.ac.uk >