date: Wed, 30 Aug 2000 14:07:38 -0400 from: Ed Cook subject: Oroko Swamp to: Keith Briffa Hi Keith, Here is the Oroko Swamp RCS chronology plot in an attached Word 98 file and actual data values below. It certainly looks pretty spooky to me with strong "Medieval Warm Period" and "Little Ice Age" signals in it. It's based on substantially more replication than the series in the paper you have to review (hint, hint!). In terms of rbar, sample size, and eps, it is probably okay back to about AD 980 at this time. I still have 3-4 more subfossil sections to process, but it is doubtful that the story will change much. When I come over in October, I am thinking about asking Jonathan Palmer to come over from Belfast for a visit. What do you think about that? Ed OROKO SWAMP, NEW ZEALAND SILVER PINE 3RD ITRDB LINE MISSING STD Oroko. 8169990 09990 09990 09990 09990 09990 0 881 1 801 1 864 1 879 1 STD Oroko. 820 815 1 752 1 736 1 704 1 719 1 781 1 694 1 749 1 693 1 701 1 STD Oroko. 830 731 1 840 1 919 1 792 1 839 1 854 1 720 1 790 1 876 1 789 1 STD Oroko. 840 851 1 772 11037 21023 21022 2 851 2 860 2 850 2 752 2 704 2 STD Oroko. 850 650 2 609 2 663 2 642 2 555 2 648 2 620 2 651 2 745 2 802 2 STD Oroko. 860 700 2 768 2 798 2 803 2 740 2 653 2 781 2 739 2 716 2 664 2 STD Oroko. 870 750 2 841 3 887 3 886 31033 31109 31040 31065 31059 31107 3 STD Oroko. 8801168 31407 41342 41123 41195 51294 51294 51334 51120 51177 5 STD Oroko. 8901407 51047 51106 51100 51302 51018 51058 51014 61078 7 902 7 STD Oroko. 900 943 7 668 8 633 8 671 8 679 8 555 8 640 8 661 8 547 8 573 8 STD Oroko. 910 680 8 727 8 850 8 626 8 747 8 657 8 753 9 693 9 658 9 727 9 STD Oroko. 920 742 9 590 9 756 9 764 9 812 10 851 10 838 10 803 10 831 10 960 10 STD Oroko. 930 809 101155 101055 101197 101197 101262 101142 101064 101118 101051 10 STD Oroko. 9401159 101125 10 977 10 972 101027 10 976 10 870 10 938 101013 10 849 10 STD Oroko. 950 870 101068 10 962 10 927 10 721 10 643 10 716 10 760 10 731 10 918 10 STD Oroko. 960 895 10 766 10 793 10 869 10 796 10 904 10 868 10 966 10 805 10 937 10 STD Oroko. 9701018 11 846 11 937 11 924 111027 121156 121067 121210 141288 141119 14 STD Oroko. 9801170 141013 141235 15 891 15 976 15 993 151272 151263 151401 151136 15 STD Oroko. 9901142 151369 161047 16 949 16 843 16 915 17 867 17 869 17 834 17 671 17 STD Oroko.1000 796 17 760 17 799 17 836 17 822 17 775 17 726 17 816 17 873 17 837 17 STD Oroko.1010 791 17 774 17 705 17 643 17 548 17 559 17 647 17 616 17 580 17 640 17 STD Oroko.1020 624 17 720 17 727 17 780 17 807 17 663 17 700 17 851 17 696 17 760 17 STD Oroko.1030 756 17 745 17 768 17 844 17 909 17 796 17 931 17 703 18 671 18 893 18 STD Oroko.1040 855 181097 181033 181075 19 973 19 795 19 880 19 966 19 812 19 859 19 STD Oroko.1050 761 19 854 19 793 19 859 19 776 19 656 19 671 19 735 19 745 19 809 19 STD Oroko.1060 856 19 996 19 873 19 866 19 899 19 981 191023 19 979 19 957 19 997 19 STD Oroko.10701138 191015 191023 191016 191011 20 951 20 944 20 923 20 879 211029 21 STD Oroko.1080 901 21 828 21 872 21 858 211075 21 824 21 713 21 623 21 705 21 842 21 STD Oroko.10901004 211095 21 923 211094 221068 221100 23 979 231067 231109 231082 23 STD Oroko.11001289 231180 231194 23 985 231050 24 924 241145 24 895 24 876 24 821 24 STD Oroko.1110 827 24 994 24 907 241011 25 984 25 944 25 950 251017 251046 25 790 25 STD Oroko.1120 741 26 892 261099 261091 261070 261022 261055 26 999 271106 271035 27 STD Oroko.1130 985 271017 271172 27 873 27 890 27 903 271005 281023 281098 281037 28 STD Oroko.1140 954 271071 281064 291019 29 892 301024 301075 301082 301127 30 974 30 STD Oroko.11501159 311279 311271 311445 311295 311171 311251 311150 311019 311190 31 STD Oroko.11601209 311160 311050 311097 311008 311050 311168 311078 311048 311182 31 STD Oroko.11701236 311123 311216 311132 311239 311077 311182 31 963 31 945 311101 31 STD Oroko.1180 912 311066 311164 311072 311051 311243 311096 311302 311155 311214 31 STD Oroko.11901059 311140 311225 311020 311078 311282 311033 311138 31 994 31 927 31 STD Oroko.12001082 311112 311184 31 849 31 939 311112 311151 311084 311212 311124 31 STD Oroko.12101177 311194 311139 311239 301258 301158 301172 30 962 301215 301180 30 STD Oroko.12201294 301250 301361 301300 301304 301049 301258 301334 301035 301003 30 STD Oroko.12301251 301174 301192 301179 301195 301252 301356 30 952 301034 301198 29 STD Oroko.12401041 291234 291145 291336 291418 291236 291243 291471 291203 291008 29 STD Oroko.12501114 291247 291127 291148 291069 291058 29 990 301017 301157 301123 30 STD Oroko.1260 991 30 897 30 925 301006 301082 301042 301088 301034 291087 29 969 30 STD Oroko.12701006 30 955 301050 301172 301125 30 983 30 981 301027 30 980 30 965 30 STD Oroko.1280 787 301113 30 984 30 977 30 857 311257 311188 311149 311087 311224 31 STD Oroko.12901190 301006 301065 30 914 301002 311144 311081 311313 31 923 311100 31 STD Oroko.13001092 31 974 311055 311099 31 811 31 903 31 879 311094 31 964 30 814 30 STD Oroko.1310 776 30 963 301125 301025 301107 301013 301007 30 904 291017 291063 29 STD Oroko.13201044 291017 291047 29 888 29 834 28 997 28 932 281014 281162 281063 28 STD Oroko.13301165 27 877 26 962 261043 261045 261228 261086 251037 251140 251190 25 STD Oroko.13401088 251327 251260 251160 251249 241358 241242 241331 241184 241115 24 STD Oroko.13501135 24 948 241055 241216 231023 231050 231174 231113 231127 23 966 22 STD Oroko.13601090 211026 201175 20 863 201057 20 766 20 749 20 851 20 895 20 745 20 STD Oroko.1370 955 19 894 19 914 19 885 19 891 191109 191122 19 987 191090 19 926 19 STD Oroko.1380 888 20 994 211053 21 936 211048 21 971 211081 21 915 21 967 21 967 21 STD Oroko.1390 901 211064 211046 211368 201524 201495 201334 201453 201381 201082 20 STD Oroko.14001077 211096 211032 211133 211224 211074 21 948 21 925 211071 211104 21 STD Oroko.14101107 21 908 211263 21 957 21 873 21 855 211014 211008 211007 211007 21 STD Oroko.1420 978 21 928 211020 21 826 21 885 211044 211044 211013 211111 211117 21 STD Oroko.1430 979 211045 211083 211138 211181 211242 221267 231204 231176 231113 23 STD Oroko.14401148 241037 241115 241184 241097 231117 221166 221010 221274 221023 22 STD Oroko.1450 984 241105 24 990 241018 24 957 24 978 23 787 23 861 231034 231004 22 STD Oroko.1460 871 24 965 25 813 27 951 27 909 281031 28 904 29 993 321038 32 917 32 STD Oroko.1470 990 331009 33 905 33 926 34 877 341066 341012 341071 341103 341163 34 STD Oroko.14801185 35 995 351065 36 996 361108 371025 371131 371162 371127 381098 38 STD Oroko.14901152 411100 451221 451271 461057 471209 471003 471159 471229 471108 47 STD Oroko.15001189 511305 531051 531140 531071 531125 541150 53 937 531165 53 981 52 STD Oroko.15101082 531111 54 952 54 962 54 734 54 863 54 837 54 712 54 757 55 682 56 STD Oroko.1520 745 56 741 57 770 57 834 57 801 56 657 56 768 561042 57 863 58 862 59 STD Oroko.1530 969 59 811 59 920 59 859 59 882 59 788 59 948 59 910 59 948 60 991 60 STD Oroko.1540 985 62 929 63 955 63 983 631059 631127 631202 631227 64 992 651145 66 STD Oroko.15501095 691051 691145 69 899 70 838 71 937 71 915 711084 73 993 73 976 73 STD Oroko.15601088 74 952 731034 73 770 73 815 731129 741045 74 775 75 864 751007 76 STD Oroko.15701042 791030 791238 79 983 801020 801115 821054 831021 821119 821071 83 STD Oroko.15801077 831082 84 945 86 852 87 875 87 916 87 919 87 852 87 810 87 800 87 STD Oroko.1590 724 90 801 90 851 90 834 90 900 90 854 90 759 90 823 90 833 91 943 91 STD Oroko.1600 810 97 810 97 819 97 953 98 7591001042100 85710010391001008100 903102 STD Oroko.16101138103 926102 884102 930103 669103 892104 762104 979104 956106 832106 STD Oroko.1620 806109 939109 798110 715110 897111 670111 813111 827111 773111 939111 STD Oroko.1630 803113 9251131146114 917114 827114 86111410971151300116 949117 983117 STD Oroko.16401018121 98412111181211154121 995121 884121 900121 995121 784121 848121 STD Oroko.1650 7401311016131101413110601321018133 967133 924133 892133 894133 752133 STD Oroko.1660 685133 754134 802134 788134 693134 830133 880133 699133 911133 833133 STD Oroko.1670 96413410561341121135 92813512071341000135 97113411181341039134 811135 STD Oroko.1680 9401381107137116113711381371091137114613811561381018137 992137 954136 STD Oroko.1690 988136 798137 9631371037137 91513710731371121138121513811071381004138 STD Oroko.1700 9261441100144105814410521441050144 9781451119145 872145 754145 858145 STD Oroko.1710 95114511251451088146 9111461035146 9011461046146 917146 7821461018146 STD Oroko.172011571451150144100614411101441044144 920144 884144 925144 965144 676145 STD Oroko.1730 996145 808144 742144 816144 778144 966143 957143 849143 906143 964143 STD Oroko.1740 975143 859143 856143 821143 83714310611431124142110614211841421051144 STD Oroko.1750 953146107214611641461036146 953146104614510051451041144 974144 929144 STD Oroko.1760 99514510771441143144 9471441060144 913144 999144 841144 787143 805143 STD Oroko.1770 786143 897143 827143 894143 836143 890143 754143 958143 935143 976143 STD Oroko.1780 915142 789141 732141 889141 823141 96814111161411051141 904141 995141 STD Oroko.1790 871141 868140 98014011341401014140 9161401005140 758140 699140 872138 STD Oroko.1800103913610481361164134104413410861331276133 655133 910133 947133 957133 STD Oroko.18101205132125213213451321292132129913212381311327131112513111821311123131 STD Oroko.18201116131 9431311062130105513010631291234129 853129 898129 860128 911128 STD Oroko.1830 8791261050125 731125 8601251067125 995124 9321241054124 9391231072123 STD Oroko.1840 903123 989121 914119 9841181034118 97111810481171039117 981117 994116 STD Oroko.1850 982112 928111 9191111061111 9521111047109 904108 953107 897107 884105 STD Oroko.18601029105 917101 965100 8351001082100 915 981102 98 934 971060 971053 97 STD Oroko.18701147 961026 961031 96 984 961004 96 998 95 895 95 924 94 752 931104 91 STD Oroko.18801100 911112 891123 89 922 891073 881113 881059 86 904 841078 841178 84 STD Oroko.1890 982 831203 811025 811187 801141 79 828 79 955 79 857 79 946 781133 78 STD Oroko.19001244 741085 721142 711312 711171 71 970 711113 711144 711244 691280 67 STD Oroko.19101214 64 836 62 917 611171 601010 601302 591074 59 999 58 911 58 918 58 STD Oroko.19201035 561201 561047 551312 531163 531133 531195 531460 531091 521055 52 STD Oroko.1930 935 501011 491247 491115 491110 491009 48 816 461072 46 974 46 936 46 STD Oroko.19401080 461012 46 928 461111 46 963 46 953 46 965 461107 451078 451002 45 STD Oroko.19501132 44 970 411032 41 996 411036 411123 411151 391056 391137 391195 39 STD Oroko.19601455 391286 391219 391364 391196 391417 391218 371295 371126 371175 37 STD Oroko.19701034 37 915 36 957 361007 36 922 36 878 36 954 351092 351051 351161 33 STD Oroko.19801205 331249 331231 331268 331303 321221 311208 311013 301100 301134 30 STD Oroko.19901093 30 940 301030 301123 301069 291057 281107 271069 221205 69990 0 STD Attachment Converted: "c:\eudora\attach\Oroko.plt" =========================== Dr. Edward R. Cook Tree-Ring Laboratory Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory Palisades, New York 10964 Phone: 914-365-8618 Fax: 914-365-8152 Email: drdendro@ldeo.columbia.edu ===========================