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Parent Directory - For additional information about Climategate, see the SeaLevel.info Climategate webpage, and:BishopHill, Steve McIntyre (also here & here), Tom Nelson, Michael Kelly, Richard Muller, WUWT, U.S. Senate EPW Comm., Heartland, Lucia, John Costella, di2.nu/foia/, FOS, and Air Vent.
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2012/ 2017-06-17 18:42 -
2019/ 2019-03-10 10:29 -
google-sites-climategate/ 2023-12-15 14:33 -
not_climategate_but_related/ 2023-02-13 12:17 -
CG1/ 2021-07-24 10:18 - ./2009/FOIA/mail/ (ten-digit "julian date" message numbers)
CG2/ 2011-01-01 12:00 - ./2011/FOIA/mail/ (four-digit message numbers, 0001-5349)
2009/ 2013-11-29 09:19 - Climategate I.
2011/ 2013-11-29 09:22 - Climategate II. (Don't overlook the README.txt manifesto!)
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briffa_sep98_d.pro 1999-03-04 05:00 1.8K 2009/FOIA/documents/osborn-tree6/briffa_sep98_d.pro - "fudge factor" code to "Apply a VERY ARTIFICAL correction for decline!!"
HARRY_READ_ME.txt 2009-01-01 00:00 700K 15,000 lines (93,000 words) of notes, apparently by a very frustrated Ian "Harry" Harris, who spent years trying to clean up CRU's convoluted data. Sample quote: "This whole project is SUCH A MESS. No wonder I needed therapy!!"
README.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 22K 2011/FOIA/README.txt - The whistle-blower's manifesto: "Poverty is a death sentence... decisions should be based on all the information we can get, not on hiding the decline."
0332.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 12K Retribution against Climate Research Editor Chris de Freitas, for publishing a skeptical paper by Soon and Baliunas (2003).
1051156418.txt 2009-01-01 00:00 6.0K Retribution against Climate Research Editor Chris de Freitas, for publishing a skeptical paper by Soon and Baliunas (2003).
1051230500.txt 2009-01-01 00:00 8.3K Retribution against Climate Research Editor Chris de Freitas, for publishing a skeptical paper by Soon and Baliunas (2003).
1430.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 2.4K Retribution against Climate Research Editor Chris de Freitas, for publishing a skeptical paper by Soon and Baliunas (2003).
2104.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 4.4K Retribution against Climate Research Editor Chris de Freitas, for publishing a skeptical paper by Soon and Baliunas (2003).
2273.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 9.6K Retribution against Climate Research Editor Chris de Freitas, for publishing a skeptical paper by Soon and Baliunas (2003).
2469.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 12K Retribution against Climate Research Editor Chris de Freitas, for publishing a skeptical paper by Soon and Baliunas (2003).
2683.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 7.0K Retribution against Climate Research Editor Chris de Freitas, for publishing a skeptical paper by Soon and Baliunas (2003).
3039.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 7.5K Retribution against Climate Research Editor Chris de Freitas, for publishing a skeptical paper by Soon and Baliunas (2003).
3052.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 10K Retribution against Climate Research Editor Chris de Freitas, for publishing a skeptical paper by Soon and Baliunas (2003).
4132.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 20K Retribution against Climate Research Editor Chris de Freitas, for publishing a skeptical paper by Soon and Baliunas (2003).
4159.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 2.4K Retribution against Climate Research Editor Chris de Freitas, for publishing a skeptical paper by Soon and Baliunas (2003).
4349.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 4.3K Retribution against Climate Research Editor Chris de Freitas, for publishing a skeptical paper by Soon and Baliunas (2003).
4808.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 8.9K Retribution against Climate Research Editor Chris de Freitas, for publishing a skeptical paper by Soon and Baliunas (2003).
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FOI2009.zip 2011-12-14 15:57 62M 🡰 ENTIRE 2009 DOCUMENT DUMP
FOIA2011.zip 2011-11-22 07:55 173M 🡰 ENTIRE 2011 DOCUMENT DUMP
1107454306.txt 2009-01-01 00:00 5.4K For your eyes only ... If McIntyre requests station data under FoIA then Phil Jones will delete it rather than hand it over
1075403821.txt 2009-01-01 00:00 2.1K Jones reports the oddly "cheering news" of the untimely death of skeptic John Daly. (Also, Jones is amazed that “it is standard practice in Econometrics journals to give all the data and codes !!”)
0942777075.txt 2009-01-01 00:00 1.2K Mike's Nature trick... to "hide the decline" in proxy-derived temperatures, because they were inconsistent with measured temperatures, a fact which discredits the method
3356.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 5.4K Ben Santer equates being audited by Steve McIntyre as the 21st century equivalent of public hanging
1054756929.txt 2009-01-01 00:00 21K Blackballing skeptics (Briffa): "...about that review - Confidentially I now need [help creating an] extensive case for rejecting - to support Dave Stahle's..."
1089318616.txt 2009-01-01 00:00 2.6K Blackballing skeptics (Jones to Mann): "Kevin [Trenberth] and I will keep [these skeptics' papers] out [of the next IPCC report] somehow - even if we have to redefine what the peer-review literature is!"
1132094873.txt 2009-01-01 00:00 6.6K Blackballing skeptics: After Saiers was ousted, Mann refers to "the GRL leak" being "plugged up now"
0031.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 19K Blackballing skeptics: Jones: "I will be emailing the journal to tell them I'm having nothing more to do with it until they rid themselves of this troublesome editor" [Hans von Storch]
3366.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 13K Blackballing skeptics: Jones: "I will be emailing the journal to tell them I'm having nothing more to do with it until they rid themselves of this troublesome editor" [Hans von Storch]
1047388489.txt 2009-01-01 00:00 7.1K Blackballing skeptics: Mann and Wigley discuss how to destroy a journal that published skeptics' papers
1051190249.txt 2009-01-01 00:00 3.9K Blackballing skeptics: Mann and Wigley discuss how to destroy a journal that published skeptics' papers
1255352257.txt 2009-01-01 00:00 6.5K Blackballing skeptics: Mann thinks he will contact BBC's Richard Black to find out why a journalist was allowed to publish a vaguely skeptical article
1106322460.txt 2009-01-01 00:00 8.8K Blackballing skeptics: Wigley says if Saiers is a skeptic they should get him ousted. [Note: Saiers was subsequently ousted]
0494.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 1.8K Bradley says Mann's assertion that it would be "Better that nothing appear [in ScienceMag], than something unnacceptable to us" ..."as though we are the gatekeepers of all that is acceptable in the world of paleoclimatology seems amazingly arrogant." See: https://climateaudit.org/2011/03/17/hide-the-decline-sciencemag/ (0494.txt is same as 0924532891.txt)
0924532891.txt 2009-01-01 00:00 1.8K Bradley says Mann's assertion that it would be "Better that nothing appear [in ScienceMag], than something unnacceptable to us" ..."as though we are the gatekeepers of all that is acceptable in the world of paleoclimatology seems amazingly arrogant." See: https://climateaudit.org/2011/03/17/hide-the-decline-sciencemag/ (0494.txt is same as 0924532891.txt)
0926681134.txt 2009-01-01 00:00 2.4K Bradley's response to Mann: "Excuse me while I puke" See: https://climateaudit.org/2011/03/17/hide-the-decline-sciencemag/ (1364.txt is the same as 0926681134.txt)
1364.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 2.4K Bradley's response to Mann: "Excuse me while I puke" See: https://climateaudit.org/2011/03/17/hide-the-decline-sciencemag/ (1364.txt is the same as 0926681134.txt)
0938018124.txt 2009-01-01 00:00 15K Briffa: "I know there is pressure to present a nice tidy story as regards 'apparent unprecedented warming in a thousand years or more in the proxy data' but in reality the situation is not quite so simple."
0850.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 3.7K Climate Models: Barnett: [IPCC AR5 models] clearly, some tuning or very good luck involved. I doubt the modeling world will be able to get away with this much longer
5066.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 5.6K Climate Models: Hegerl: [IPCC AR5 models] So using the 20th c for tuning is just doing what some people have long suspected us of doing [...] and what the nonpublished diagram from NCAR showing correlation between aerosol forcing and sensitivity also suggested.
4443.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 6.4K Climate Models: Jones: Basic problem is that all models are wrong - not got enough middle and low level clouds.
4085.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 3.5K Climate Models: Jones: GKSS is just one model and it is a model, so there is no need for it to be correct.
2423.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 6.6K Climate Models: Lanzante/NOAA: While perhaps one could designate some subset of models as being poorer in a lot of areas, there probably never will be a single universally superior model or set of models. We should keep in mind that the climate system is complex, so that it is difficult, if not impossible to define a metric that captures the breath of physical processes relevant to even a narrow area of focus.
1982.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 15K Climate Models: Santer: there is no individual model that does well in all of the SST and water vapor tests we've applied.
5131.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 8.2K Climate Models: Shukla/IGES: ['Future of the IPCC', 2008] It is inconceivable that policymakers will be willing to make billion-and trillion-dollar decisions for adaptation to the projected regional climate change based on models that do not even describe and simulate the processes that are the building blocks of climate variability.
3111.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 1.6K Climate Models: Watson/UEA: I'd agree probably 10 years away to go from weather forecasting to ~ annual scale. But the 'big climate picture' includes ocean feedbacks on all time scales, carbon and other elemental cycles, etc. and it has to be several decades before that is sorted out I would think. So I would guess that it will not be models or theory, but observation that will provide the answer to the question of how the climate will change in many decades time.
4716.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 2.9K Communicating Climate Change: Adams: Somehow we have to leave the[m] thinking OK, climate change is extremely complicated, BUT I accept the dominant view that people are affecting it, and that impacts produces risk that needs careful and urgent attention.
2428.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 5.4K Communicating Climate Change: Ashton/co2.org: Having established scale and urgency, the political challenge is then to turn this from an argument about the cost of cutting emissions - bad politics - to one about the value of a stable climate - much better politics. [...] the most valuable thing to do is to tell the story about abrupt change as vividly as possible
0813.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 4.0K Communicating Climate Change: Fox/Environment Agency: if we loose the chance to make climate change a reality to people in the regions we will have missed a major trick in REGIS.
2495.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 11K Communicating Climate Change: Humphrey/DEFRA: I can't overstate the HUGE amount of political interest in the project as a message that the Government can give on climate change to help them tell their story. They want the story to be a very strong one and don't want to be made to look foolish.
3062.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 1.5K Communicating Climate Change: Jones: We don't really want the bullshit and optimistic stuff that Michael has written [...] We'll have to cut out some of his stuff.
3332.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 4.7K Communicating Climate Change: Kelly: the current commitments, even with some strengthening, are little different from what would have happened without a climate treaty. [...] the way to pitch the analysis is to argue that precautionary action must be taken now to protect reserves etc against the inevitable
1790.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 4.3K Communicating Climate Change: Lorenzoni: I agree with the importance of extreme events as foci for public and governmental opinion [...] 'climate change' needs to be present in people's daily lives. They should be reminded that it is a continuously occurring and evolving phenomenon
1485.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 13K Communicating Climate Change: Mann: the important thing is to make sure they're loosing the PR battle. That's what the site [Real Climate] is about.
4141.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 8.8K Communicating Climate Change: Minns/Tyndall Centre: global warming freezing is already a bit of a public relations problem ... Kjellen: I agree with Nick that climate change might be a better labelling than global warming
3655.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 2.8K Communicating Climate Change: Singer/WWF: we as an NGO working on climate policy need such a document pretty soon for the public and for informed decision makers in order to get a) a debate started and b) in order to get into the media the context between climate extremes/desasters/costs and finally the link between weather extremes and energy
0445.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 4.9K Communicating Climate Change: Torok/CSIRO: [...] idea of looking at the implications of climate change for what he termed 'global icons' [...] One of these suggested icons was the Great Barrier Reef [...] It also became apparent that there was always a local 'reason' for the destruction - cyclones, starfish, fertilizers [...] A perception of an 'unchanging' environment leads people to generate local explanations for coral loss based on transient phenomena, while not acknowledging the possibility of systematic damage from long-term climatic/environmental change [...] Such a project could do a lot to raise awareness of threats to the reef from climate change
3046.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 9.0K Courtney accurately describes and denounces Mann's hockey stick splice; Mann denies it to Keller, Bradley & Jones, and says Courtney's criticism "is intentional deceipt."
1229468467.txt 2009-01-01 00:00 6.4K FOIA: Because of pressure and FoIA requests from Steve McIntyre, Ben Santer reluctantly agrees to release the satellite-measured tropical troposphere temperature data
1231257056.txt 2009-01-01 00:00 11K FOIA: Ben Santer thinks they should be able to withhold scientific data from "competitors"
2094.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 14K FOIA: Briffa: UEA does not hold the very vast majority of mine [potentially FOIable emails] anyway which I copied onto private storage after the completion of the IPCC task.
1212073451.txt 2009-01-01 00:00 918 FOIA: Jones & Briffa to Mann: delete files subject to FOIA.
1212063122.txt 2009-01-01 00:00 1.6K FOIA: Jones, Mann, Briffa & others deleting emails subject to FOIA request
2440.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 6.5K FOIA: Jones: I've been told that IPCC is above national FOI Acts. One way to cover yourself and all those working in AR5 would be to delete all emails at the end of the process
1577.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 8.6K FOIA: Jones: [FOI, temperature data] Any work we have done in the past is done on the back of the research grants we get - and has to be well hidden. I've discussed this with the main funder (US Dept of Energy) in the past and they are happy about not releasing the original station data.
1473.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 14K FOIA: McGarvie/UEA Director of Faculty Administration: As we are testing EIR with the other climate audit org request relating to communications with other academic colleagues, I think that we would weaken that case if we supplied the information in this case. So I would suggest that we decline this one (at the very end of the time period)
2459.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 2.5K FOIA: Osborn: Keith and I have just searched through our emails for anything containing 'David Holland'. Everything we found was cc'd to you and/or Dave Palmer, which you'll already have.
2368.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 9.8K FOIA: Phil Jones brazenly boasts of deleting files subject to David Holland's FoIA request, in an email to the UEA's Information Compliance Manager!
ordered-emails.xlsx 2022-12-15 21:13 580K From Buffy Minton via Jeff Id at Air Vent
cru.tab 2022-12-17 19:02 29M From Steve McIntyre at Climate Audit, R-concordance of the 5349 "Climategate 2" (2011) emails as text files
info.cg2.csv 2022-07-07 16:14 460K From Steve McIntyre at Climate Audit, time-concordance of the 5349 "Climategate 2" (2011) emails, including julian seconds to match to climategate1
1105670738.txt 2009-01-01 00:00 1.6K Jonathan "Peck" Overpeck wants to "deal a mortal blow" to "supposed warm period terms" (like the MWP) in the literature (1462.txt is the same as 1105670738.txt)
1080742144.txt 2009-01-01 00:00 2.7K Jones, acting as a reviewer of the CRU data used in the HadCRU gridded temperature, "went to town" to prevent publication of criticism of his handling of Russian data. See https://climateaudit.org/2009/12/16/iearussia-hadley-center-probably-tampered-with-russian-climate-data/
0846715553.txt 2009-01-01 00:00 930 Keith Briffa on the Yamal data - "bullshiting and politiking" for the dendrochronological community
mbh98-osborn_list.txt 2017-11-11 07:35 221K List of all files in 2009/FOIA/documents/mbh98-osborn.zip
1067194064.txt 2009-01-01 00:00 3.4K Mann has a meltdown upon hearing about McIntyre & McKitrick 2003, Corrections to the Mann et. al. (1998) Proxy Data Base and Northern Hemispheric Average Temperature Series, a paper which identified some of Mann's errors. See https://climateaudit.org/2011/11/28/direct-action-at-harvard/ (2527.txt is same as 1067194064.txt)
2527.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 3.3K Mann has a meltdown upon hearing about McIntyre & McKitrick 2003, Corrections to the Mann et. al. (1998) Proxy Data Base and Northern Hemispheric Average Temperature Series, a paper which identified some of Mann's errors. See https://climateaudit.org/2011/11/28/direct-action-at-harvard/ (2527.txt is same as 1067194064.txt)
00249611_p.014-017.txt 2019-03-10 10:32 5.7K Mann: "we are actually screening all proxies to see if they have a verifiable signal..." https://sealevel.info/FOIA/2019/00249611.pdf#page=14
1054736277.txt 2009-01-01 00:00 16K Michael Mann tells Phil Jones that it would be nice to "'contain' the putative Medieval Warm Period"
1645.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 795 Osborn to Jones: "...you really ought to replace the values from 1961 onwards with observed temperatures due to the decline." (I.e., hide the decline.)
4005.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 3.5K Osborn: "Also we have applied a completely artificial adjustment to the data after 1960, so they look closer to observed temperatures than the tree-ring data actually were..."
2346.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 4.8K Osborn: "Also, we set all post-1960 values to missing in the MXD data set (due to decline), and the method will infill these, estimating them from the real temperatures - another way of "correcting" for the decline, though may be not defensible!
1199988028.txt 2009-01-01 00:00 6.8K Osborn: "He also said (and please treat this in confidence, which is why I emailed to you and Phil only) that he may be able to hold back the hardcopy (i.e. the print/paper version) appearance of Douglass et al., possibly so that any accepted Santer et al. comment could appear alongside it."
4472.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 6.8K PAL REVIEW: Jones: "With JGR submission you need to be careful who you suggest to review or not review the manuscript. I will leave this to you, but it might be worth suggesting Fu and someone at RSS, but not UAH."
1939.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 10K Peter Thorne: This is just downright dangerous. We need to communicate the uncertainty and be honest.
1189722851.txt 2009-01-01 00:00 3.0K Phil Jones calls for Wahl and Ammann to try to change the received date on their rebuttal to McIntyre [presumably so it can get into AR4]
1299.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 5.6K Phil Jones: "We have 25 or so years invested in the work. Why should I make the data available to you, when your aim is to try and find something wrong with it."
0585.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 2.8K Rahmstorf suggests spinning Dansgaard-Oeschger events (natural past abrupt climate change) as merely regional in AR4 WG1 Chapter 6.
1700.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 6.6K Retribution against skeptics Soon and Baliunas: https://climateaudit.org/2011/11/28/direct-action-at-harvard/
2524.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 7.2K Retribution against skeptics Soon and Baliunas: https://climateaudit.org/2011/11/28/direct-action-at-harvard/
3013.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 12K Retribution against skeptics Soon and Baliunas: https://climateaudit.org/2011/11/28/direct-action-at-harvard/
4032.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 10K Retribution against skeptics Soon and Baliunas: https://climateaudit.org/2011/11/28/direct-action-at-harvard/
4394.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 4.3K Science and Religion: Houghton [MetO, IPCC co-chair] [...] we dont take seriously enough our God-given responsibility to care for the Earth [...] 500 million people are expected to watch The Day After Tomorrow. We must pray that they pick up that message.
3653.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 3.2K Science and Religion: Hulme: He [another Met scientist] is a Christian and would talk authoritatively about the state of climate science from the sort of standpoint you are wanting.
0999.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 1.3K Science and Religion: Hulme: My work is as Director of the national centre for climate change research, a job which requires me to translate my Christian belief about stewardship of God's planet into research and action.
2132.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 2.2K Science and Religion: Wigley: I heard that Zichichi has links with the Vatican. A number of other greenhouse skeptics have extreme religious views.
2967.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 6.5K Settled Science: Briffa: Also there is much published evidence for Europe (and France in particular) of increasing net primary productivity in natural and managed woodlands that may be associated either with nitrogen or increasing CO2 or both. Contrast this with the still controversial question of large-scale acid-rain-related forest decline? To what extent is this issue now generally considered urgent, or even real?
4693.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 1.5K Settled Science: Crowley: I am not convinced that the 'truth' is always worth reaching if it is at the cost of damaged personal relationships
2733.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 7.9K Settled Science: Crowley: Phil, thanks for your thoughts - guarantee there will be no dirty laundry in the open.
4944.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 9.1K Settled Science: Haimberger: It is interesting to see the lower tropospheric warming minimum in the tropics in all three plots, which I cannot explain. I believe it is spurious but it is remarkably robust against my adjustment efforts.
5289.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 532 Settled Science: Hoskins: If the tropical near surface specific humidity over tropical land has not gone up (Fig 5) presumably that could explain why the expected amplification of the warming in the tropics with height has not really been detected.
5315.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 2.6K Settled Science: Jenkins/MetO: would you agree that there is no convincing evidence for kilimanjaro glacier melt being due to recent warming (let alone man-made warming)?
1788.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 1.9K Settled Science: Jones: There shouldn't be someone else at UEA with different views [from 'recent extreme weather is due to global warming'] - at least not a climatologist.
0953.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 4.8K Settled Science: Jones: This will reduce the 1940-1970 cooling in NH temps. Explaining the cooling with sulphates won't be quite as necessary.
2292.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 5.1K Settled Science: Jones: [tropical glaciers] There is a small problem though with their retreat. They have retreated a lot in the last 20 years yet the MSU2LT data would suggest that temperatures haven't increased at these levels.
4262.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 3.4K Settled Science: Klein/LLNL: Does anybody have an explanation why there is a relative minimum (and some negative trends) between 500 and 700 hPa? No models with significant surface warming do this
4470.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 3.6K Settled Science: Norwegian Meteorological Institute: In Norway and Spitsbergen, it is possible to explain most of the warming after the 1960s by changes in the atmospheric circulation. The warming prior to 1940 cannot be explained in this way.
2461.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 21K Settled Science: Osborn: This is an excellent idea, Mike, IN PRINCIPLE at least. In practise, however, it raises some interesting results [...] the analysis will not likely lie near to the middle of the cloud of published series and explaining the reasons behind this etc. will obscure the message of a short EOS piece.
2095.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 2.7K Settled Science: Steig: He's skeptical that the warming is as great as we show in East Antarctica -- he thinks the 'right' answer is more like our detrended results in the supplementary text. I cannot argue he is wrong.
0310.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 1.1K Settled Science: Warren: The results for 400 ppm stabilization look odd in many cases [...] As it stands we'll have to delete the results from the paper if it is to be published.
1682.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 13K Settled Science: Wils: [2007] What if climate change appears to be just mainly a multidecadal natural fluctuation? They'll kill us probably [...]
2267.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 4.3K Settled Science: Wilson: Although I agree that GHGs are important in the 19th/20th century (especially since the 1970s), if the weighting of solar forcing was stronger in the models, surely this would diminish the significance of GHGs. [...] it seems to me that by weighting the solar irradiance more strongly in the models, then much of the 19th to mid 20th century warming can be explained from the sun alone.
1139521913.txt 2009-01-01 00:00 1.7K Tactics for screening and delaying postings at Real Climate
3373.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 6.6K Temperature Reconstructions: Bradley: I'm sure you agree--the Mann/Jones GRL paper was truly pathetic and should never have been published. I don't want to be associated with that 2000 year 'reconstruction'.
1024334440.txt 2009-01-01 00:00 1.6K Temperature Reconstructions: Briffa: I am sick to death of Mann stating his reconstruction represents the tropical area just because it contains a few (poorly temperature representative ) tropical series. Cook: We both know the probable flaws in Mike's recon[struction]... It is puzzling to me that a guy as bright as Mike would be so unwilling to evaluate his own work a bit more objectively.
4369.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 4.0K Temperature Reconstructions: Cook: I am afraid that Mike is defending something that increasingly can not be defended. He is investing too much personal stuff in this and not letting the science move ahead.
5055.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 2.9K Temperature Reconstructions: Cook: One problem is that he [Mann] will be using the RegEM method, which provides no better diagnostics (e.g. betas) than his original method. So we will still not know where his estimates are coming from.
0886.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 3.6K Temperature Reconstructions: Esper: Now, you Keith complain about the way we introduced our result, while saying it is an important one. [...] the IPCC curve needs to be improved according to missing long-term declining trends/signals, which were removed (by dendrochronologists!) before Mann merged the local records together. So, why don't you want to let the result into science?
0843161829.txt 2009-01-01 00:00 1.5K Temperature Reconstructions: Funkhouser: I really wish I could be more positive about the Kyrgyzstan material, but I swear I pulled every trick out of my sleeve trying to milk something out of that. ... I don't think it'd be productive to try and juggle the chronology statistics any more than I already have
4165.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 1.7K Temperature Reconstructions: Jones: what he [Zwiers] has done comes to a different conclusion than Caspar and Gene! I reckon this can be saved by careful wording.
3994.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 3.8K Temperature Reconstructions: Mitchell/MetO Is the PCA approach robust? Are the results statistically significant? It seems to me that in the case of MBH the answer in each is no
4758.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 3.8K Temperature Reconstructions: Osborn: Because how can we be critical of Crowley for throwing out 40-years in the middle of his calibration, when we're throwing out all post-1960 data 'cos the MXD has a non-temperature signal in it, and also all pre-1881 or pre-1871 data 'cos the temperature data may have a non-temperature signal in it!
1061625894.txt 2009-01-01 00:00 13K Temperature Reconstructions: Wigley to Mann: "With regard to the CO2 fertilization effect on tree ring width... While I am confident that you are correct, and that this is not a crucial factor, I think one should be careful about denying its existence. There are, furthermore, additional obfuscating factors that make the effects of CO2 fertilization on ring widths hard to identify." Mann: "In retrospect, Phil and I should have included this analysis in the GRL article, but its always hard to know what specifics the contrarians are going to target in their attacks."
4241.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 4.0K Temperature Reconstructions: Wilson: I thought I'd play around with some randomly generated time-series and see if I could 'reconstruct' northern hemisphere temperatures. [...] The reconstructions clearly show a 'hockey-stick' trend. I guess this is precisely the phenomenon that Macintyre has been going on about.
1583.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 5.2K Temperature Reconstructions: Wilson: any method that incorporates all forms of uncertainty and error will undoubtedly result in reconstructions with wider error bars than we currently have. These many be more honest, but may not be too helpful for model comparison attribution studies. We need to be careful with the wording I think.
3594.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 9.3K The Cause: Berger: Phil, Many thanks for your paper and congratulations for reviving the global warming.
0121.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 2.2K The Cause: Jones: [on temperature data adjustments] Upshot is that their trend will increase
4184.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 2.7K The Cause: Jones: [to Hansen] Keep up the good work! [...] Even though it's been a mild winter in the UK, much of the rest of the world seems coolish - expected though given the La Nina. Roll on the next El Nino!
3115.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 3.1K The Cause: Mann: By the way, when is Tom C going to formally publish his roughly 1500 year reconstruction??? It would help the cause to be able to refer to that reconstruction as confirming Mann and Jones, etc.
0810.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 2.0K The Cause: Mann: I gave up on Judith Curry a while ago. I don't know what she think's she's doing, but its not helping the cause
3940.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 12K The Cause: Mann: They will (see below) allow us to provide some discussion of the synthetic example, referring to the J. Cimate paper (which should be finally accepted upon submission of the revised final draft), so that should help the cause a bit.
5294.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 5.4K The Cause: Schneider: Even though I am virtually certain we shall lose on McCain-Lieberman, they are forcing Senators to go on record for for against sensible climate policy
2009.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 7.8K The IPCC Process: Briffa: I find myself in the strange position of being very skeptical of the quality of all present reconstructions, yet sounding like a pro greenhouse zealot here!
1611.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 4.0K The IPCC Process: Carter: It seems that a few people have a very strong say, and no matter how much talking goes on beforehand, the big decisions are made at the eleventh hour by a select core group.
0414.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 1.3K The IPCC Process: Coe: Hence the AR4 Section 2.7.1.1.2 dismissal of the ACRIM composite to be instrumental rather than solar in origin is a bit controversial. Similarly IPCC in their discussion on solar RF since the Maunder Minimum are very dependent on the paper by Wang et al (which I have been unable to access) in the decision to reduce the solar RF significantly despite the many papers to the contrary in the ISSI workshop. All this leaves the IPCC almost entirely dependent on CO2 for the explanation of current global temperatures as in Fig 2.23. since methane CFCs and aerosols are not increasing.
2775.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 12K The IPCC Process: Jones to Trenberth & David Easterling: "I too don't see why the [color] schemes should be symmetrical. The temperature ones certainly will not as we're choosing the periods to show warming."
0714.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 9.2K The IPCC Process: Jones: Getting people we know and trust [into IPCC] is vital - hence my comment about the tornadoes group.
0170.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 6.7K The IPCC Process: Jones: Kevin, Seems that this potential Nature paper may be worth citing, if it does say that GW is having an effect on TC activity.
3205.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 5.3K The IPCC Process: Jones: Useful ones [for IPCC] might be Baldwin, Benestad (written on the solar/cloud issue - on the right side, i.e anti-Svensmark), Bohm, Brown, Christy (will be have to involve him ?)
0890.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 13K The IPCC Process: Jones: We can put a note in that something will be there in the next draft, or Kevin or I will write something - it depends on whether and what we get from Japan.
3456.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 5.4K The IPCC Process: Overpeck: I agree w/ Susan [Solomon] that we should try to put more in the bullet about 'Subsequent evidence' [...] Need to convince readers that there really has been an increase in knowledge - more evidence. What is it?
4755.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 6.8K The IPCC Process: Overpeck: The trick may be to decide on the main message and use that to guid[e] what's included and what is left out.
4923.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 11K The IPCC Process: Stott/MetO: My most immediate concern is to whether to leave this statement ['probably the warmest of the last millennium'] in or whether I should remove it in the anticipation that by the time of the 4th Assessment Report we'll have withdrawn this statement - Chris Folland at least seems to think this is possible.
1219.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 4.1K The IPCC Process: Trenberth: [...] opposing some things said by people like Chris Landsea who has said all the stuff going on is natural variability. In addition to the 4 hurricanes hitting Florida, there has been a record number hit Japan 10?? and I saw a report saying Japanese scientists had linked this to global warming. [...] I am leaning toward the idea of getting a box on changes in hurricanes, perhaps written by a Japanese.
1104.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 2.4K The IPCC Process: Wanner/NCCR: In my [IPCC-TAR] review [...] I crit[i]cized [...] the Mann hockey[s]tick [...] My review was classified 'unsignificant' even I inquired several times. Now the internationally well known newspaper SPIEGEL got the information about these early statements because I expressed my opinion in several talks, mainly in Germany, in 2002 and 2003. I just refused to give an exclusive interview to SPIEGEL because I will not cause damage for climate science.
2884.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 9.1K The IPCC Process: Wigley: Mike, The Figure you sent is very deceptive [...] there have been a number of dishonest presentations of model results by individual authors and by IPCC [...]
5096.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 4.2K The Medieval Warm Period, Cook: A growing body of evidence clearly shows [2008] that hydroclimatic variability during the putative MWP (more appropriately and inclusively called the 'Medieval Climate Anomaly' or MCA period) was more regionally extreme (mainly in terms of the frequency and duration of megadroughts) than anything we have seen in the 20th century, except perhaps for the Sahel. So in certain ways the MCA period may have been more climatically extreme than in modern times.
5111.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 8.2K The Medieval Warm Period, Henry Pollack to Phil Jones: 'But it will be very difficult to make the MWP go away in Greenland.'
5039.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 3.3K The Medieval Warm Period, Rahmstorf: You chose to depict the one based on C14 solar data, which kind of stands out in Medieval times. It would be much nicer to show the version driven by Be10 solar forcing
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CRUfinal.pdf 2018-01-21 08:44 1.2M The U.S. Senate EPW Committee Republican staff produced this definitive report on the 2009 Climategate scandal (also on the Senate web site, here)
README.txt.html 2024-05-20 21:07 28K This is the whistle-blower's README.txt manifesto, minimally edited to make the message numbers into hyperlinks
3066.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 5.4K Thorne to Jones & Parker: "I also think the science is being manipulated to put a political spin on it which for all our sakes might not be too clever in the long run."
1254108338.txt 2009-01-01 00:00 2.1K Tom Wigley proposes adjusting-down the "1940s warming blip" by 0.15 degC
1255553034.txt 2009-01-01 00:00 12K Tom Wigley: "There have been a number of dishonest presentations of model output by authors and IPCC"
1219239172.txt 2009-01-01 00:00 11K UK climate organisations are coordinating to resist FoIA requests, and got advice about how to do so from the Information Commissioner!
4938.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 7.9K Urban Heat Effect: Jenkins/MetO: By coincidence I also got recently a paper from Rob which says 'London's UHI has indeed become more intense since the 1960s esp during spring and summer'.
1601.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 2.4K Urban Heat Effect: Jones: I think China is one of the few places that are affected [urban heat]. The paper shows that London and Vienna (and also New York) are not affected in the 20th century.
0896.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 10K Urban Heat Effect: Jones: I think the urban-related warming should be smaller than this, but I can't think of a good way to argue this. I am hopeful of finding something in the data that makes by their Figure 3.
2939.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 4.1K Urban Heat Effect: Jones: [...] every effort has been made to use data that are either rural and/or where the urbanization effect has been removed as well as possible by statistical means. There are 3 groups that have done this independently (CRU, NOAA and GISS), and they end up with essentially the same results. [...] Furthermore, the oceans have warmed at a rate consistent with the land. There is no urban effect there.
0044.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 4.6K Urban Heat Effect: Rean: [...] we found the [urban warming] effect is pretty big in the areas we analyzed. This is a little different from the result you obtained in 1990. [...] We have published a few of papers on this topic in Chinese. Unfortunately, when we sent our comments to the IPCC AR4, they were mostly rejected.
4789.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 3.0K Urban Heat Effect: Wigley: there are some nitpicky jerks who have criticized the Jones et al. data sets -- we don't want one of those [EPRI/California Energy Commission meeting]. Jones: The jerk you mention was called Good(e)rich who found urban warming at all Californian sites.
0682.txt 2011-01-01 12:00 17K Wigley: "A few years back, my son Eirik did a tree ring science fair project using trees behind NCAR. He found that widths correlated with both temp and precip. However, temp and precip also correlate. There is much other evidence that it is precip that is the driver, and that the temp/width correlation arises via the temp/precip correlation."
FOI2009.zip_list.txt 2017-07-07 11:42 496K Climategate I. — list of files (2009)
FOIA2011.zip_list.txt 2017-07-07 11:43 406K Climategate II. — list of files (2011)